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La Liga
Referee: Javier Alberola Rojas
Vallecano
T T S T U
2–2
Full-time
Espanol
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Espanol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,5
1,7
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
2,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 35%
20%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
60%
17%
Both score Ø 47%
60%
33%
Average goals
3,4
1,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,4
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,4
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

52% Possession 48%
11 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vallecano 19. · Espanol 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 6 4 1 1 +10 13
2 Real Madrid 6 4 1 1 +6 13
3 Ath Madrid 6 3 2 1 +4 11
4 Alaves 6 3 2 1 +3 11
5 Sevilla 6 3 1 2 +7 10
6 Espanol 6 3 1 2 +2 10
7 Celta 6 2 3 1 +2 9
8 Betis 6 2 3 1 -1 9
9 Villarreal 6 2 2 2 +2 8
10 Sociedad 6 2 2 2 +0 8
11 Getafe 6 2 2 2 +0 8
12 Girona 6 2 2 2 -2 8
13 Eibar 6 2 1 3 -2 7
14 Valladolid 6 1 3 2 -1 6
15 Ath Bilbao 5 1 3 1 -2 6
16 Valencia 6 0 5 1 -2 5
17 Levante 6 1 1 4 -4 4
18 Leganes 6 1 1 4 -5 4
19 Vallecano 5 1 1 3 -7 4
20 Huesca 6 1 1 4 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vallecano Espanol
1–0 Raúl de Tomás
Ó. Trejo
6′
19′
Borja Iglesias 1–1
Half-time 1–2
46′
Granero 1–2
2–2 G. Kakuta
47′
Bebé 🟨
58′
Santi Comesaña 🟨
64′
Adri Embarba 🔁
↦ G. Kakuta
65′
José Ángel Pozo 🔁
↦ Ó. Trejo
65′
71′
🔁 H. Pérez
↦ Léo Baptistão
Álvaro García 🔁
↦ Bebé
78′
79′
🟨 Esteban Granero
82′
🔁 Óscar Melendo
↦ Granero
83′
🟨 Marc Roca
87′
🟨 Víctor Sánchez
87′
🔁 Sergi Darder
↦ Marc Roca
Álvaro García 🟨
88′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Vallecano

4-1-4-1
1 Alberto García G
17 L. Advíncula D
16 Jordi Amat D
21 A. Ba D
10 G. Kakuta M
12 G. Imbula M
7 Álex Moreno D
27 Santi Comesaña M
8 Ó. Trejo M
14 Bebé F
9 Raúl de Tomás F
Bench (7)
11 Adri Embarba
22 José Ángel Pozo
18 Álvaro García
4 Álvaro Medrán
13 S. Dimitrievski
15 Álex Alegría
23 Alejandro Gálvez

Coach: Míchel

Espanol

4-1-4-1
13 Diego López G
12 Dídac Vilá D
16 Javi López D
5 Naldo D
22 Mario Hermoso D
23 Granero M
4 Víctor Sánchez M
21 Marc Roca M
9 Sergio García F
11 Léo Baptistão F
7 Borja Iglesias F
Bench (7)
17 H. Pérez
14 Óscar Melendo
10 Sergi Darder
1 Roberto Jiménez
6 Ó. Duarte
8 R. Rosales
19 P. Piatti

Coach: Rubí

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Javier Alberola Rojas · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.