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Bundesliga
Referee: Tobias Stieler
Mainz
T S U S T
0–0
Full-time
Wolfsburg
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,2
4,2
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
25%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
1,8
3,8
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
12 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 11
3 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mainz 8. · Wolfsburg 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 5 4 1 0 +9 13
2 Werder Bremen 5 3 2 0 +4 11
3 Hertha 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Dortmund 4 2 2 0 +5 8
5 Hoffenheim 5 2 1 2 +1 7
6 Wolfsburg 4 2 1 1 +1 7
7 M'gladbach 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Mainz 4 2 1 1 +1 7
9 Freiburg 5 2 1 2 -1 7
10 Leverkusen 5 2 0 3 -4 6
11 Nurnberg 4 1 2 1 +1 5
12 Augsburg 5 1 2 2 -1 5
13 Fortuna Dusseldorf 5 1 2 2 -1 5
14 RB Leipzig 4 1 2 1 -2 5
15 Ein Frankfurt 4 1 1 2 -1 4
16 Stuttgart 4 0 2 2 -4 2
17 Hannover 5 0 2 3 -5 2
18 Schalke 04 5 0 0 5 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.