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Ligue 1
Referee: J Miguelgorry
Dijon
S S T T U
0–3
Full-time
Lyon
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

52% Possession 48%
30 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 5
13 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Dijon 8. · Lyon 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 6 6 0 0 +15 18
2 Lille 6 4 1 1 +6 13
3 St Etienne 7 3 3 1 -1 12
4 Montpellier 6 3 2 1 +2 11
5 Toulouse 7 3 2 2 -2 11
6 Marseille 6 3 1 2 +5 10
7 Lyon 6 3 1 2 +4 10
8 Dijon 6 3 1 2 +3 10
9 Angers 7 3 1 3 +0 10
10 Nice 7 3 1 3 -3 10
11 Strasbourg 6 2 2 2 +1 8
12 Nimes 6 2 2 2 +0 8
13 Reims 6 2 2 2 -2 8
14 Bordeaux 6 2 1 3 -2 7
15 Rennes 6 2 1 3 -2 7
16 Monaco 7 1 3 3 -1 6
17 Caen 6 1 3 2 -2 6
18 Nantes 7 1 2 4 -5 5
19 Amiens 6 1 1 4 -3 4
20 Guingamp 6 0 0 6 -13 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dijon Lyon
16′
M. Dembélé 0–1
T. NDombèlé
19′
M. Dembélé 0–2
N. Sliti 🔁
↦ B. Jeannot
25′
35′
M. Terrier 0–3
Rafael
Half-time 0–3
J. Keita 🔁
↦ M. Abeid
46′
Enzo Loiodice 🟨
56′
59′
🟨 Lucas Tousart
64′
🔁 Pape Diop
↦ T. NDombèlé
66′
🟨 Lucas Tousart
66′
🟥 Lucas Tousart
74′
🔁 J. Ferri
↦ M. Terrier
Y. Gourcuff 🔁
↦ W. Lautoa
76′
84′
🔁 M. Depay
↦ B. Traoré
Enzo Loiodice 🟨
90′
Enzo Loiodice 🟥
90′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Dijon

3-5-2
1 R. Rúnarsson G
6 L. Ciman D
5 O. Haddadi D
24 W. Lautoa D
18 C. Yamberé D
19 V. Rosier D
20 R. Amalfitano M
8 M. Abeid M
12 E. Loiodice M
11 Júlio Tavares F
29 B. Jeannot F
Bench (7)
10 N. Sliti
23 J. Keita
28 Y. Gourcuff
2 M. Alphonse
4 N. Aguerd
9 W. Saïd
16 B. Allain

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Lyon

4-3-3
1 Anthony Lopes G
15 J. Morel D
4 Rafael D
14 L. Dubois D
5 J. Denayer D
28 T. NDombèlé M
29 L. Tousart M
7 M. Terrier F
8 H. Aouar M
10 B. Traoré F
9 M. Dembélé F
Bench (7)
24 Pape Diop
12 J. Ferri
11 M. Depay
6 Marcelo
17 L. Pintor
23 K. Tete
30 M. Gorgelin

Coach: B. Génésio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Miguelgorry · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.