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La Liga
Referee: Eduardo Prieto Iglesias
Villarreal
T S U T U
0–1
Full-time
Girona
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Girona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
13 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Villarreal 14. · Girona 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Barcelona 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Sevilla 2 1 1 0 +3 4
4 Espanol 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Ath Bilbao 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Huesca 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Sociedad 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Celta 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Ath Madrid 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Getafe 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Levante 2 1 0 1 +2 3
12 Valladolid 3 0 2 1 -1 2
13 Leganes 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Villarreal 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Valencia 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Girona 2 0 1 1 -3 1
17 Alaves 2 0 1 1 -3 1
18 Betis 2 0 1 1 -3 1
19 Eibar 2 0 0 2 -3 0
20 Vallecano 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.