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La Liga

Referee: David Medie Jimenez

Ath Bilbao

T S T T T

1–1

Full-time

Villarreal

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,0

This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 41%

27%

55%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

36%

64%

Both score Ø 32%

36%

27%

Average goals

2,4

2,6

Scored

1,0

1,6

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,6

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%

15 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 7

2 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 15. · Villarreal 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	11	1	0	+29	34
2	Valencia	12	9	3	0	+21	30
3	Real Madrid	12	7	3	2	+13	24
4	Ath Madrid	12	6	6	0	+10	24
5	Sevilla	12	7	1	4	+2	22
6	Villarreal	11	6	2	3	+7	20
7	Sociedad	12	5	3	4	+3	18
8	Betis	11	5	2	4	+1	17
9	Leganes	12	5	2	5	-2	17
10	Getafe	12	4	4	4	+5	16
11	Girona	12	4	4	4	-3	16
12	Levante	12	3	6	3	-1	15
13	Celta	12	4	2	6	+4	14
14	Espanol	12	3	4	5	-6	13
15	Ath Bilbao	11	3	2	6	-4	11
16	La Coruna	12	3	2	7	-8	11
17	Eibar	11	2	2	7	-19	8
18	Malaga	12	2	1	9	-16	7
19	Alaves	12	2	0	10	-14	6
20	Las Palmas	12	2	0	10	-22	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	6	0	0	+18	18
2	Valencia	6	5	1	0	+14	16
3	Sevilla	6	5	1	0	+8	16
4	Villarreal	5	4	1	0	+11	13
5	Betis	6	4	1	1	+5	13
6	Real Madrid	6	3	2	1	+7	11
7	Espanol	6	3	1	2	+2	10
8	Getafe	6	3	0	3	+5	9
9	Ath Madrid	5	2	3	0	+3	9
10	Levante	7	2	3	2	+1	9
11	Sociedad	6	2	2	2	+2	8
12	Celta	6	2	2	2	+1	8
13	Leganes	6	2	2	2	-2	8
14	Girona	7	2	2	3	-3	8
15	Ath Bilbao	5	2	1	2	+0	7
16	Malaga	6	2	1	3	-3	7
17	La Coruna	6	2	0	4	-5	6
18	Eibar	5	1	2	2	-4	5
19	Alaves	6	1	0	5	-8	3
20	Las Palmas	6	1	0	5	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	5	1	0	+11	16
2	Ath Madrid	7	4	3	0	+7	15
3	Valencia	6	4	2	0	+7	14
4	Real Madrid	6	4	1	1	+6	13
5	Sociedad	6	3	1	2	+1	10
6	Leganes	6	3	0	3	+0	9
7	Girona	5	2	2	1	+0	8
8	Getafe	6	1	4	1	+0	7
9	Villarreal	6	2	1	3	-4	7
10	Celta	6	2	0	4	+3	6
11	Levante	5	1	3	1	-2	6
12	Sevilla	6	2	0	4	-6	6
13	La Coruna	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	Ath Bilbao	6	1	1	4	-4	4
15	Betis	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Alaves	6	1	0	5	-6	3
17	Espanol	6	0	3	3	-8	3
18	Las Palmas	6	1	0	5	-10	3
19	Eibar	6	1	0	5	-15	3
20	Malaga	6	0	0	6	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.