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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernandez

Sevilla

S U T T S

3–0

Full-time

Real Madrid

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,8

2,3

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,5

This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 60%

40%

80%

Points per game

1,4

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

40%

Both score Ø 50%

40%

60%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

2,0

2,4

Conceded

1,2

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

40% Possession 60%

16 Shots 21

7 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 6

3 Offside 5

16 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 10. · Real Madrid 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	4	1	1	+10	13
2	Real Madrid	5	4	1	0	+9	13
3	Ath Madrid	6	3	2	1	+4	11
4	Alaves	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Espanol	6	3	1	2	+2	10
6	Celta	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Villarreal	6	2	2	2	+2	8
8	Sociedad	6	2	2	2	+0	8
9	Girona	5	2	2	1	-1	8
10	Sevilla	5	2	1	2	+4	7
11	Getafe	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Eibar	6	2	1	3	-2	7
13	Ath Bilbao	5	1	3	1	-2	6
14	Betis	5	1	3	1	-2	6
15	Valencia	5	0	4	1	-2	4
16	Levante	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Leganes	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Vallecano	5	1	1	3	-7	4
19	Huesca	6	1	1	4	-10	4
20	Valladolid	5	0	3	2	-2	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Espanol	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Barcelona	3	2	1	0	+9	7
4	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Eibar	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Celta	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Ath Bilbao	4	1	2	1	-2	5
8	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Leganes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Getafe	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Girona	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Betis	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Valencia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Villarreal	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Levante	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Valladolid	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Huesca	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Vallecano	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+1	7
3	Sevilla	3	2	0	1	+6	6
4	Alaves	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Barcelona	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Girona	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Ath Madrid	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Huesca	4	1	1	2	-8	4
11	Levante	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	Celta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Valladolid	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Getafe	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Betis	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Valencia	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Ath Bilbao	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Espanol	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Eibar	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Leganes	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.