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La Liga
Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez
Betis
T T U S U
2–2
Full-time
Ath Bilbao
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Ath Bilbao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 4/3 matches
Win Ø 29%
25%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
25%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
3,0
Scored
0,3
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

70% Possession 30%
16 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 1
1 Offside 5
13 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Betis 14. · Ath Bilbao 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 5 4 1 0 +9 13
2 Barcelona 4 4 0 0 +11 12
3 Alaves 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Celta 5 2 2 1 +2 8
5 Ath Madrid 5 2 2 1 +1 8
6 Sevilla 5 2 1 2 +4 7
7 Espanol 5 2 1 2 +1 7
8 Sociedad 5 2 1 2 +0 7
9 Getafe 5 2 1 2 +0 7
10 Eibar 5 2 1 2 -1 7
11 Girona 4 2 1 1 -1 7
12 Ath Bilbao 3 1 2 0 +1 5
13 Villarreal 5 1 2 2 -1 5
14 Betis 4 1 2 1 -2 5
15 Valencia 5 0 4 1 -2 4
16 Levante 5 1 1 3 -3 4
17 Huesca 5 1 1 3 -7 4
18 Valladolid 5 0 3 2 -2 3
19 Vallecano 4 1 0 3 -7 3
20 Leganes 5 0 1 4 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Ath Bilbao
7′
Iñaki Williams 0–1
Raúl García
18′
Raúl García 0–2
De Marcos
38′
🟨 Markel Susaeta
40′
🟨 Yeray Álvarez
45′
🟨 Beñat Etxebarria
45′
🟨 Markel Susaeta
45′
🟥 Markel Susaeta
Half-time 0–2
50′
🟨 Yuri Berchiche
1–2 Bartra
A. Guardado
51′
Sergio Canales 🟨
53′
56′
🔁 Ander Capa
↦ Raúl García
Cristian Tello 🔁
↦ Junior Firpo
62′
Loren Morón 🔁
↦ G. Lo Celso
65′
2–2 Canales
Cristian Tello
68′
Sidnei 🟨
70′
73′
🔁 San José
↦ Beñat
T. Inui 🔁
↦ Francis Guerrero
78′
82′
🔁 Muniain
↦ Iñaki Williams
87′
🟨 Iñigo Martínez
90′
🟨 Unai Simon
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Betis

3-4-2-1
13 Pau López G
12 Sidnei D
23 A. Mandi D
5 Bartra D
20 Junior Firpo M
17 Joaquín M
18 A. Guardado M
6 Canales M
21 G. Lo Celso M
2 Francis Guerrero M
9 A. Sanabria F
Bench (7)
11 Cristian Tello
16 Loren Morón
8 T. Inui
1 Joel Robles
3 Javi García
7 Sergio León
10 R. Boudebouz

Coach: Quique Setién

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
25 Unai Simón G
24 Balenziaga D
18 De Marcos D
12 Yuri D
4 Íñigo Martínez D
5 Yeray Álvarez D
22 Raúl García M
14 Susaeta M
7 Beñat M
16 Dani García M
9 Iñaki Williams F
Bench (7)
21 Ander Capa
6 San José
10 Muniain
3 Unai Núñez
17 Mikel Rico
23 Unai López
26 Hodei Oleaga

Coach: E. Berizzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Javier Estrada Fernandez · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.