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La Liga
Referee: Mario Melero Lopez
Villarreal
S S T S U
1–2
Full-time
Sociedad
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,2
2,7
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%
16 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 6
0 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Villarreal Sociedad
1–0 Gerard Moreno
S. Cáseres
16′
Manuel Morlanes 🟨
36′
40′
Willian José 1–1
Half-time 1–1
51′
🟨 Theo Hernández
59′
🔁 Zurutuza
↦ Mikel Merino
Dani Raba 🔁
↦ Manu Morlanes
65′
Santiago Cáseres 🟨
67′
68′
🔁 Juanmi
↦ Rubén Pardo
71′
Juanmi 1–2
Trigueros 🔁
↦ Santi Cazorla
73′
75′
🟨 Juanmi
77′
🟨 Joseba Zaldúa
C. Bacca 🔁
↦ Pablo Fornals
77′
80′
🔁 Aritz Elustondo
↦ Mikel Oyarzabal
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Villarreal

4-4-2
1 Sergio Asenjo G
2 Mario Gaspar D
4 Ramiro Funes Mori D
3 Álvaro González D
19 Santi Cazorla M
28 Manu Morlanes M
16 Alfonso Pedraza M
8 Pablo Fornals M
5 S. Cáseres M
7 Gerard Moreno F
17 K. Toko Ekambi F
Bench (7)
22 Dani Raba
14 Trigueros
9 C. Bacca
24 M. Layún
6 Víctor Ruíz
13 Andrés Fernández
26 Miguelón Llambrich

Coach: Javi Calleja

Sociedad

4-4-1-1
1 G. Rulli G
6 H. Moreno D
2 Joseba Zaldúa D
3 Diego Llorente D
19 T. Hernández D
4 Illarramendi M
14 Rubén Pardo M
8 Mikel Merino M
5 Igor Zubeldía M
12 Willian José F
10 Mikel Oyarzabal M
Bench (7)
17 Zurutuza
7 Juanmi
15 Aritz Elustondo
23 Luca Sangalli
21 Jon Bautista
20 Kévin Rodrigues
30 Andoni Zubiaurre

Coach: Asier Garitano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mario Melero Lopez · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.