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Ligue 1

Referee: A Gautier

Caen

U U S U T

2–2

Full-time

Montpellier

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

1,7

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

1,7

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%

11 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 6

2 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Caen 17. · Montpellier 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	6	6	0	0	+15	18
2	Lille	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	St Etienne	7	3	3	1	-1	12
4	Montpellier	6	3	2	1	+2	11
5	Toulouse	7	3	2	2	-2	11
6	Marseille	6	3	1	2	+5	10
7	Lyon	6	3	1	2	+4	10
8	Dijon	6	3	1	2	+3	10
9	Angers	7	3	1	3	+0	10
10	Nice	7	3	1	3	-3	10
11	Strasbourg	6	2	2	2	+1	8
12	Nimes	6	2	2	2	+0	8
13	Reims	6	2	2	2	-2	8
14	Bordeaux	6	2	1	3	-2	7
15	Rennes	6	2	1	3	-2	7
16	Monaco	7	1	3	3	-1	6
17	Caen	6	1	3	2	-2	6
18	Nantes	7	1	2	4	-5	5
19	Amiens	6	1	1	4	-3	4
20	Guingamp	6	0	0	6	-13	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Lille	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Lyon	4	3	0	1	+5	9
4	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+8	7
5	St Etienne	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Toulouse	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Rennes	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Montpellier	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Strasbourg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Angers	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Reims	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Bordeaux	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Amiens	3	1	0	2	+1	3
14	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Dijon	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Nice	3	1	0	2	-4	3
17	Caen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Monaco	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Nantes	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	Guingamp	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Dijon	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Nice	4	2	1	1	+1	7
4	Montpellier	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Angers	4	2	0	2	+0	6
6	Nimes	4	1	2	1	+0	5
7	St Etienne	4	1	2	1	-3	5
8	Monaco	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Lille	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Strasbourg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Caen	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Reims	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Toulouse	3	1	1	1	-3	4
14	Bordeaux	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Nantes	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Marseille	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Lyon	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Rennes	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Amiens	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Guingamp	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.