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La Liga
Referee: Mario Melero Lopez
Barcelona
S T S S S
8–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Huesca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
4,0
3,5
Scored
2,7
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,5
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
0,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–2

68% Possession 32%
30 Shots 7
14 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
9 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barcelona 3. · Huesca 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 Celta 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Barcelona 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Sevilla 2 1 1 0 +3 4
5 Levante 3 1 1 1 +2 4
6 Ath Bilbao 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Huesca 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Espanol 3 1 1 1 +1 4
9 Sociedad 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Getafe 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Ath Madrid 3 1 1 1 -1 4
12 Alaves 3 1 1 1 -2 4
13 Girona 3 1 1 1 -2 4
14 Eibar 3 1 0 2 -2 3
15 Valladolid 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Valencia 3 0 2 1 -2 2
17 Villarreal 3 0 1 2 -2 1
18 Betis 2 0 1 1 -3 1
19 Leganes 3 0 1 2 -4 1
20 Vallecano 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barcelona Huesca
3′
J. Hernández 0–1
S. Longo
1–1 L. Messi
I. Rakitić
16′
1–2 Jorge Pulido
own goal
24′
26′
🟨 Luisinho
2–2 L. Suárez
Jordi Alba
39′
42′
Álex Gallar 2–3
Moi Gómez
Half-time 3–3
3–3 O. Dembélé
L. Suárez
48′
4–3 I. Rakitić
L. Messi
52′
58′
🔁 S. Gürler
↦ S. Longo
5–3 L. Messi
Philippe Coutinho
61′
C. Lenglet 🔁
↦ S. Umtiti
65′
65′
🔁 Rúben Semedo
↦ Álex Gallar
A. Vidal 🔁
↦ I. Rakitić
71′
72′
🔁 E. Ávila
↦ J. Hernández
Arthur 🔁
↦ Sergio Busquets
76′
6–3 Jordi Alba
L. Messi
81′
87′
🟨 Damian Musto
Arturo Vidal 🟨
88′
7–3 L. Suárez
93′
Full-time 7–3

Line-ups

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
3 Piqué D
18 Jordi Alba D
20 Sergi Roberto D
23 S. Umtiti D
4 I. Rakitić M
5 Sergio Busquets M
7 Philippe Coutinho M
10 L. Messi F
9 L. Suárez F
11 O. Dembélé F
Bench (7)
15 C. Lenglet
22 A. Vidal
8 Arthur
2 Nélson Semedo
13 J. Cillessen
14 Malcom
19 Munir

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Huesca

4-4-2
1 A. Werner G
3 Etxeita D
16 Luisinho D
14 Jorge Pulido D
24 Jorge Miramón D
23 D. Musto M
6 Moi Gómez M
8 Gonzalo Melero M
11 Álex Gallar M
12 S. Longo F
9 J. Hernández F
Bench (7)
21 S. Gürler
4 Rúben Semedo
19 E. Ávila
7 David Ferreiro
13 Santamaría
18 Pablo Ínsua
22 Lluis Sastre

Coach: L. Franco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mario Melero Lopez · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.