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La Liga
Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez
Granada
S T S S T
1–1
Full-time
Villarreal
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
4,2
2,0
Scored
2,2
0,5
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%
7 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Granada Villarreal
David Lombán 🟨
15′
28′
🟨 Nicola Sansone
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Alfred N'Diaye
53′
🟨 Manu Trigueros
61′
Samu Castillejo 0–1
1–1 E. Ponce
65′
David Barral 🔁
↦ Javi Márquez
66′
David Barral 🟨
69′
Luís Martins 🔁
↦ Jon Toral
73′
78′
🔁 R. Borré
↦ N. Sansone
91′
🔁 Mario González
↦ Alexandre Pato
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Granada

4-2-3-1
13 G. Ochoa G
6 Lombán D
2 Tito D
22 D. Foulquier D
5 U. Agbo M
8 Javi Márquez M
21 R. Krhin M
19 Isaac Cuenca M
10 J. Boga M
11 Jon Toral M
9 E. Ponce F
Bench (7)
7 David Barral
14 Luís Martins
26 V. Angban
4 Fran Rico
1 Oier
17 Sergi Guardiola
3 G. Silva

Coach: Paco Jémez

Villarreal

4-4-2
1 Sergio Asenjo G
5 M. Musacchio D
22 A. Rukavina D
2 Mario Gaspar D
6 Víctor Ruíz D
4 A. N'Diaye M
20 R. Soriano M
14 Trigueros M
19 Samu Castillejo M
10 Alexandre Pato F
18 N. Sansone F
Bench (7)
24 R. Borré
39 Mario González
26 Pablo Larrea
27 Aitor Cantalapiedra
35 Rodri Hernández
13 Andrés Fernández
3 José Ángel

Coach: Fran Escribá

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Javier Estrada Fernandez · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.