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La Liga

Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez

Villarreal

S T T U S

0–2

Full-time

La Coruna

T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal La Coruna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,3

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,0

2,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-2,0

This season — La Liga · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 35%

50%

19%

Points per game

1,8

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

42%

44%

Both score Ø 52%

39%

64%

Average goals

2,1

2,8

Scored

1,2

Conceded

0,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%

10 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 4

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 4. · La Coruna 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	36	27	4	5	+75	85
2	Ath Madrid	36	27	4	5	+44	85
3	Real Madrid	36	26	6	4	+73	84
4	Villarreal	36	18	10	8	+13	64
5	Ath Bilbao	36	17	7	12	+11	58
6	Celta	36	16	9	11	-7	57
7	Sevilla	36	14	10	12	+6	52
8	Malaga	36	11	12	13	+1	45
9	Valencia	36	11	11	14	+0	44
10	Las Palmas	36	12	7	17	-5	43
11	Sociedad	36	11	9	16	-5	42
12	Eibar	36	11	9	16	-10	42
13	Betis	36	10	11	15	-19	41
14	Espanol	36	11	7	18	-31	40
15	La Coruna	36	7	18	11	-16	39
16	Granada	36	9	9	18	-23	36
17	Vallecano	36	8	11	17	-22	35
18	Sp Gijon	36	9	8	19	-24	35
19	Getafe	36	9	8	19	-29	35
20	Levante	36	7	8	21	-32	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	18	15	1	2	+53	46
2	Barcelona	18	15	1	2	+48	46
3	Ath Madrid	18	14	3	1	+24	45
4	Sevilla	18	14	1	3	+20	43
5	Villarreal	18	12	4	2	+16	40
6	Ath Bilbao	18	10	4	4	+16	34
7	Celta	18	8	6	4	+3	30
8	Espanol	18	8	5	5	-8	29
9	Las Palmas	18	8	4	6	+8	28
10	Eibar	18	8	4	6	+4	28
11	Malaga	18	7	6	5	+8	27
12	Valencia	18	6	7	5	+3	25
13	Vallecano	18	7	4	7	-2	25
14	Getafe	18	6	6	6	+3	24
15	Sociedad	18	6	5	7	+1	23
16	Granada	18	6	5	7	-2	23
17	Levante	18	6	5	7	-4	23
18	Sp Gijon	18	6	4	8	-2	22
19	Betis	18	5	6	7	-7	21
20	La Coruna	18	4	8	6	-7	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	18	13	1	4	+20	40
2	Barcelona	18	12	3	3	+27	39
3	Real Madrid	18	11	5	2	+20	38
4	Celta	18	8	3	7	-10	27
5	Villarreal	18	6	6	6	-3	24
6	Ath Bilbao	18	7	3	8	-5	24
7	Betis	18	5	5	8	-12	20
8	Valencia	18	5	4	9	-3	19
9	Sociedad	18	5	4	9	-6	19
10	La Coruna	18	3	10	5	-9	19
11	Malaga	18	4	6	8	-7	18
12	Las Palmas	18	4	3	11	-13	15
13	Eibar	18	3	5	10	-14	14
14	Granada	18	3	4	11	-21	13
15	Sp Gijon	18	3	4	11	-22	13
16	Espanol	18	3	2	13	-23	11
17	Getafe	18	3	2	13	-32	11
18	Vallecano	18	1	7	10	-20	10
19	Sevilla	18	0	9	9	-14	9
20	Levante	18	1	3	14	-28	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.