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La Liga

Referee: Alberto Undiano

Sp Gijon

U S T S U

2–0

Full-time

Villarreal

T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 37%

24%

49%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

49%

41%

Both score Ø 45%

51%

38%

Average goals

2,7

2,1

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,7

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

15 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 1

1 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Gijon 17. · Villarreal 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	38	29	4	5	+83	91
2	Real Madrid	38	28	6	4	+76	90
3	Ath Madrid	38	28	4	6	+45	88
4	Villarreal	37	18	10	9	+11	64
5	Ath Bilbao	38	18	8	12	+13	62
6	Celta	38	17	9	12	-8	60
7	Sevilla	38	14	10	14	+1	52
8	Malaga	38	12	12	14	+3	48
9	Sociedad	38	13	9	16	-3	48
10	Valencia	38	11	11	16	-2	44
11	Las Palmas	38	12	8	18	-8	44
12	Eibar	38	11	10	17	-12	43
13	Espanol	38	12	7	19	-34	43
14	La Coruna	38	8	18	12	-16	42
15	Betis	37	10	12	15	-19	42
16	Granada	38	10	9	19	-23	39
17	Sp Gijon	37	9	9	19	-24	36
18	Getafe	37	9	9	19	-29	36
19	Vallecano	37	8	11	18	-23	35
20	Levante	37	8	8	21	-31	32

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	19	16	1	2	+54	49
2	Barcelona	19	16	1	2	+53	49
3	Ath Madrid	19	15	3	1	+26	48
4	Sevilla	19	14	1	4	+17	43
5	Villarreal	19	12	4	3	+14	40
6	Ath Bilbao	19	11	4	4	+18	37
7	Celta	19	9	6	4	+4	33
8	Espanol	19	9	5	5	-6	32
9	Malaga	19	8	6	5	+11	30
10	Las Palmas	19	8	5	6	+8	29
11	Eibar	19	8	5	6	+4	29
12	Sociedad	19	7	5	7	+2	26
13	Levante	19	7	5	7	-3	26
14	Getafe	19	6	7	6	+3	25
15	Valencia	19	6	7	6	+2	25
16	Vallecano	18	7	4	7	-2	25
17	Granada	19	6	5	8	-5	23
18	Sp Gijon	18	6	4	8	-2	22
19	Betis	18	5	6	7	-7	21
20	La Coruna	19	4	8	7	-9	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	19	13	3	3	+30	42
2	Real Madrid	19	12	5	2	+22	41
3	Ath Madrid	19	13	1	5	+19	40
4	Celta	19	8	3	8	-12	27
5	Ath Bilbao	19	7	4	8	-5	25
6	Villarreal	18	6	6	6	-3	24
7	Sociedad	19	6	4	9	-5	22
8	La Coruna	19	4	10	5	-7	22
9	Betis	19	5	6	8	-12	21
10	Valencia	19	5	4	10	-4	19
11	Malaga	19	4	6	9	-8	18
12	Granada	19	4	4	11	-18	16
13	Las Palmas	19	4	3	12	-16	15
14	Eibar	19	3	5	11	-16	14
15	Sp Gijon	19	3	5	11	-22	14
16	Espanol	19	3	2	14	-28	11
17	Getafe	18	3	2	13	-32	11
18	Vallecano	19	1	7	11	-21	10
19	Sevilla	19	0	9	10	-16	9
20	Levante	18	1	3	14	-28	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.