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Bundesliga

Referee: W Altmann

Sturm Graz

T S U T S

4–1

Full-time

SK Rapid

U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz SK Rapid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 50%

47%

53%

Points per game

1,7

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

57%

60%

Both score Ø 57%

53%

60%

Average goals

2,6

3,2

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%

20 Shots 10

8 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

1 Corners 3

1 Offside 5

13 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 4. · SK Rapid 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	30	23	2	5	+54	71
2	SK Rapid	30	16	8	6	+24	56
3	LASK	30	15	6	9	+20	51
4	Sturm Graz	30	14	8	8	+13	50
5	Hartberg	31	11	11	9	-11	44
6	Wolfsberger AC	30	13	4	13	-8	43
7	Austria Vienna	31	11	9	11	+5	42
8	Tirol	30	10	7	13	-3	37
9	Altach	31	9	6	16	-22	33
10	Ried	31	7	9	15	-24	30
11	Admira	31	6	7	18	-31	25
12	St. Polten	31	5	9	17	-17	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	15	12	1	2	+31	37
2	Sturm Graz	15	10	1	4	+12	31
3	SK Rapid	15	9	3	3	+15	30
4	LASK	15	8	3	4	+15	27
5	Hartberg	16	7	6	3	+1	27
6	Austria Vienna	16	5	7	4	+1	22
7	Altach	16	6	4	6	-3	22
8	Tirol	15	5	4	6	+2	19
9	Ried	15	5	4	6	-9	19
10	Admira	15	4	2	9	-12	14
11	Wolfsberger AC	15	3	3	9	-19	12
12	St. Polten	15	1	5	9	-13	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	15	11	1	3	+23	34
2	Wolfsberger AC	15	10	1	4	+11	31
3	SK Rapid	15	7	5	3	+9	26
4	LASK	15	7	3	5	+5	24
5	Austria Vienna	15	6	2	7	+4	20
6	Sturm Graz	15	4	7	4	+1	19
7	Tirol	15	5	3	7	-5	18
8	Hartberg	15	4	5	6	-12	17
9	St. Polten	16	4	4	8	-4	16
10	Ried	16	2	5	9	-15	11
11	Altach	15	3	2	10	-19	11
12	Admira	16	2	5	9	-19	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.