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Serie A

Referee: R Abisso

Fiorentina

S U U S U

0–2

Full-time

Napoli

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Napoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,8

4,0

Scored

1,5

3,0

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+2,0

This season — Serie A · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 45%

25%

64%

Points per game

1,1

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

53%

58%

Both score Ø 57%

58%

56%

Average goals

2,9

3,4

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

1,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%

7 Shots 18

3 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 7

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 9

5 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fiorentina 13. · Napoli 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	37	27	7	3	+50	88
2	Atalanta	37	23	9	5	+45	78
3	Juventus	37	22	9	6	+36	75
4	Milan	36	23	6	7	+31	75
5	Napoli	36	23	4	9	+43	73
6	Lazio	36	21	4	11	+8	67
7	Roma	37	18	7	12	+10	61
8	Sassuolo	36	15	11	10	+4	56
9	Sampdoria	36	13	7	16	-6	46
10	Verona	36	11	10	15	-2	43
11	Bologna	36	10	10	16	-11	40
12	Udinese	36	10	10	16	-11	40
13	Fiorentina	36	9	12	15	-10	39
14	Genoa	37	9	12	16	-12	39
15	Spezia	37	9	11	17	-20	38
16	Cagliari	36	9	9	18	-15	36
17	Torino	36	7	14	15	-19	35
18	Benevento	36	7	10	19	-35	31
19	Crotone	36	6	3	27	-47	21
20	Parma	36	3	11	22	-39	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	18	16	1	1	+31	49
2	Juventus	19	14	2	3	+22	44
3	Roma	19	13	4	2	+24	43
4	Lazio	18	13	2	3	+13	41
5	Napoli	18	12	3	3	+30	39
6	Atalanta	18	12	3	3	+27	39
7	Milan	18	8	5	5	+7	29
8	Sampdoria	18	8	3	7	+3	27
9	Bologna	18	7	5	6	+3	26
10	Sassuolo	18	6	8	4	+2	26
11	Fiorentina	18	6	6	6	+2	24
12	Verona	18	6	5	7	+0	23
13	Genoa	19	5	7	7	-1	22
14	Spezia	18	5	6	7	-5	21
15	Udinese	18	5	4	9	-4	19
16	Cagliari	18	5	4	9	-9	19
17	Torino	18	3	8	7	-11	17
18	Crotone	18	5	1	12	-12	16
19	Benevento	18	2	6	10	-20	12
20	Parma	18	2	5	11	-21	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	18	15	1	2	+24	46
2	Inter	19	11	6	2	+19	39
3	Atalanta	19	11	6	2	+18	39
4	Napoli	18	11	1	6	+13	34
5	Juventus	18	8	7	3	+14	31
6	Sassuolo	18	9	3	6	+2	30
7	Lazio	18	8	2	8	-5	26
8	Udinese	18	5	6	7	-7	21
9	Verona	18	5	5	8	-2	20
10	Sampdoria	18	5	4	9	-9	19
11	Benevento	18	5	4	9	-15	19
12	Torino	18	4	6	8	-8	18
13	Roma	18	5	3	10	-14	18
14	Cagliari	18	4	5	9	-6	17
15	Genoa	18	4	5	9	-11	17
16	Spezia	19	4	5	10	-15	17
17	Fiorentina	18	3	6	9	-12	15
18	Bologna	18	3	5	10	-14	14
19	Parma	18	1	6	11	-18	9
20	Crotone	18	1	2	15	-35	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.