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Eredivisie
Referee: B Kuipers
Utrecht
U S S U U
1–1
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,7
This season — Eredivisie · 31/33 matches
Win Ø 53%
42%
64%
Points per game
1,6
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
52%
64%
Both score Ø 63%
65%
61%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

30% Possession 70%
8 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
4 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Utrecht 6. · PSV Eindhoven 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 33 27 4 2 +77 85
2 PSV Eindhoven 33 21 8 4 +39 71
3 AZ Alkmaar 33 20 8 5 +29 68
4 Vitesse 33 18 7 8 +16 61
5 Feyenoord 31 15 9 7 +25 54
6 Utrecht 31 13 11 7 +11 50
7 Groningen 32 14 7 11 +4 49
8 Heracles 33 12 8 13 -6 44
9 Sparta Rotterdam 32 12 7 13 +0 43
10 For Sittard 33 12 5 16 -7 41
11 Heerenveen 33 9 12 12 -5 39
12 Twente 33 9 11 13 -3 38
13 Zwolle 33 8 11 14 -10 35
14 Waalwijk 33 7 9 17 -19 30
15 Willem II 33 7 7 19 -29 28
16 FC Emmen 33 6 9 18 -32 27
17 VVV Venlo 33 6 5 22 -44 23
18 Den Haag 33 4 10 19 -46 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Utrecht PSV Eindhoven
1–0 S. van de Streek
S. Gustafson
36′
Half-time 1–1
49′
M. van Ginkel 1–1
M. Götze
56′
🔁 J. Piroe
↦ Y. Vertessen
E. Bergström 🔁
↦ W. Janssen
62′
M. van der Maarel 🔁
↦ D. Warmerdam
62′
Adrián Dalmau 🔁
↦ S. van de Streek
62′
M. Sylla 🔁
↦ G. Kerk
68′
77′
🔁 S. Sambo
↦ A. Obispo
J. Hoogma 🔁
↦ U. Emanuelson
81′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Utrecht

4-3-3
32 E. Oelschlägel G
14 W. Janssen D
21 D. Warmerdam D
5 H. ter Avest D
25 T. St. Jago D
28 U. Emanuelson M
8 J. van Overeem M
22 S. van de Streek M
10 S. Gustafson F
7 G. Kerk F
26 O. Boussaid F
Bench (12)
13 E. Bergström
2 M. van der Maarel
9 Adrián Dalmau
29 M. Sylla
3 J. Hoogma
1 M. Paes
38 D. van den Berg
19 M. Mahi
16 T. Nijhuis
30 R. Balk
17 B. Benamar
11 E. Elia

Coach: R. Hake

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
38 Y. Mvogo G
4 N. Viergever D
31 P. Max D
24 A. Obispo D
33 J. Teze D
27 M. Götze M
14 M. van Ginkel M
6 I. Sangaré M
7 E. Zahavi F
19 C. Gakpo F
53 Y. Vertessen F
Bench (9)
29 J. Piroe
44 S. Sambo
5 T. Baumgartl
13 L. Unnerstall
16 V. Müller
23 N. Madueke
22 D. Dumfries
28 O. Boscagli
11 A. Fein

Coach: R. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,29
U ✓
3,77
B
2,05
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,51
U2,5 ✓
2,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Kuipers · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.