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Serie A
Referee: P Giacomelli
Benevento
U T T T T
1–1
Full-time
Crotone
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benevento Crotone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,3
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
3,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-1,2
This season — Serie A · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 18%
19%
17%
Points per game
0,9
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 60%
56%
64%
Average goals
3,1
3,8
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
2,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
19 Shots 6
11 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
8 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Benevento 18. · Crotone 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 37 27 7 3 +50 88
2 Atalanta 37 23 9 5 +45 78
3 Napoli 37 24 4 9 +45 76
4 Juventus 37 22 9 6 +36 75
5 Milan 36 23 6 7 +31 75
6 Lazio 36 21 4 11 +8 67
7 Roma 37 18 7 12 +10 61
8 Sassuolo 36 15 11 10 +4 56
9 Sampdoria 36 13 7 16 -6 46
10 Verona 36 11 10 15 -2 43
11 Bologna 36 10 10 16 -11 40
12 Udinese 36 10 10 16 -11 40
13 Fiorentina 37 9 12 16 -12 39
14 Genoa 37 9 12 16 -12 39
15 Spezia 37 9 11 17 -20 38
16 Cagliari 36 9 9 18 -15 36
17 Torino 36 7 14 15 -19 35
18 Benevento 36 7 10 19 -35 31
19 Crotone 36 6 3 27 -47 21
20 Parma 36 3 11 22 -39 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Benevento Crotone
1–0 G. Lapadula
P. Hetemaj
13′
15′
🟨 Luca Marrone
R. Improta 🔁
↦ A. Ioniţă
20′
24′
🟥 Vladimir Golemić
A. Tuia 🔁
↦ F. Depaoli
36′
Half-time 1–0
B. Dabo 🔁
↦ G. Caprari
46′
46′
🔁 Pedro Pereira
↦ L. Marrone
51′
🟨 Lisandro Magallán
62′
🔁 L. Rojas
↦ N. Zanellato
66′
🔁 M. Vulić
↦ Ahmed Benali
67′
🔁 J. Petriccione
↦ L. Cigarini
Kamil Glik 🟨
80′
83′
🔁 D. Drăguş
↦ A. Ounas
A. Gaich 🔁
↦ R. Insigne
84′
Adolfo Gaich 🟨
88′
93′
S. Nwankwo 1–1
Pedro Pereira
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Benevento

4-3-2-1
1 L. Montipò G
15 K. Glik D
3 G. Letizia D
93 F. Barba D
27 F. Depaoli D
56 P. Hetemaj M
29 A. Ioniţă M
28 P. Schiattarella M
9 G. Lapadula F
17 G. Caprari M
19 R. Insigne M
Bench (12)
16 R. Improta
13 A. Tuia
14 B. Dabo
7 A. Gaich
12 N. Manfredini
10 N. Viola
8 A. Tello
22 I. Lucatelli
20 G. Di Serio
88 A. Diambo
26 S. Sanogo
58 C. Pastina

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Crotone

3-5-2
16 M. Festa G
34 L. Marrone D
6 L. Magallán D
5 V. Golemić D
26 K. Djidji M
8 L. Cigarini M
17 S. Molina M
10 Ahmed Benali M
7 A. Ounas F
21 N. Zanellato M
25 S. Nwankwo F
Bench (11)
32 Pedro Pereira
20 L. Rojas
77 M. Vulić
44 J. Petriccione
11 D. Drăguş
1 A. Cordaz
33 A. Rispoli
22 G. Crespi
24 G. D'Aprile
13 S. Luperto
97 E. Rivière

Coach: S. Cosmi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,50
U ✓
4,67
B
6,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,49
U2,5 ✓
2,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Giacomelli · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.