La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Betis
Huesca
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ath Madrid
|
36 | 24 | 8 | 4 | +40 | 80 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | +37 | 78 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
36 | 23 | 7 | 6 | +47 | 76 |
| 4 |
Sevilla
|
36 | 23 | 5 | 8 | +23 | 74 |
| 5 |
Sociedad
|
36 | 15 | 11 | 10 | +17 | 56 |
| 6 |
Villarreal
|
36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | +13 | 55 |
| 7 |
Betis
|
36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | -2 | 55 |
| 8 |
Celta
|
36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | -2 | 50 |
| 9 |
Ath Bilbao
|
36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | +7 | 46 |
| 10 |
Granada
|
36 | 13 | 6 | 17 | -16 | 45 |
| 11 |
Osasuna
|
36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | -9 | 44 |
| 12 |
Cadiz
|
36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | -20 | 43 |
| 13 |
Levante
|
36 | 9 | 13 | 14 | -10 | 40 |
| 14 |
Valencia
|
36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | -6 | 39 |
| 15 |
Alaves
|
36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -22 | 35 |
| 16 |
Getafe
|
36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | -16 | 34 |
| 17 |
Huesca
|
36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | -18 | 33 |
| 18 |
Valladolid
|
36 | 5 | 16 | 15 | -19 | 31 |
| 19 |
Eibar
|
36 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -19 | 30 |
| 20 |
Elche
|
36 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -25 | 30 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Eibar
Betis
Betis
Granada
Valladolid
Betis
Real Madrid
Betis
Betis
Ath Bilbao
Pablo González · 106 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.