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Ligue 1

Referee: F Batta

Lorient

T T S S T

2–1

Full-time

Metz

T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,8

3,2

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

2,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 31%

28%

33%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

56%

39%

Both score Ø 56%

61%

50%

Average goals

3,1

2,4

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%

6 Shots 3

2 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Corners 1

16 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lorient 17. · Metz 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	36	23	10	3	+40	79
2	Paris SG	36	24	4	8	+52	76
3	Monaco	36	23	5	8	+33	74
4	Lyon	36	21	10	5	+36	73
5	Marseille	36	15	11	10	+6	56
6	Lens	36	15	11	10	+4	56
7	Rennes	36	15	10	11	+11	55
8	Montpellier	36	13	11	12	-3	50
9	Nice	36	14	7	15	-2	49
10	Metz	36	12	10	14	-3	46
11	St Etienne	36	12	9	15	-11	45
12	Angers	36	12	8	16	-16	44
13	Reims	36	9	15	12	-3	42
14	Brest	36	11	7	18	-14	40
15	Bordeaux	36	11	6	19	-18	39
16	Strasbourg	36	10	8	18	-11	38
17	Lorient	36	10	8	18	-19	38
18	Nantes	36	8	13	15	-11	37
19	Nimes	36	9	8	19	-26	35
20	Dijon	36	3	9	24	-45	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	18	11	5	2	+21	38
2	Paris SG	18	12	1	5	+26	37
3	Lyon	18	11	3	4	+20	36
4	Lille	18	10	6	2	+17	36
5	Marseille	18	9	5	4	+8	32
6	Lorient	18	9	2	7	+1	29
7	Rennes	18	8	4	6	+3	28
8	Brest	18	8	4	6	+1	28
9	Lens	18	7	6	5	+2	27
10	Montpellier	18	7	3	8	-1	24
11	Nice	18	7	3	8	-3	24
12	Bordeaux	18	6	4	8	-5	22
13	Angers	18	6	3	9	-6	21
14	St Etienne	18	5	6	7	-8	21
15	Reims	18	4	8	6	-4	20
16	Metz	18	5	4	9	-7	19
17	Nantes	18	3	8	7	-7	17
18	Strasbourg	18	4	4	10	-8	16
19	Nimes	18	3	5	10	-14	14
20	Dijon	18	1	6	11	-19	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	18	13	4	1	+23	43
2	Paris SG	18	12	3	3	+26	39
3	Lyon	18	10	7	1	+16	37
4	Monaco	18	12	0	6	+12	36
5	Lens	18	8	5	5	+2	29
6	Rennes	18	7	6	5	+8	27
7	Metz	18	7	6	5	+4	27
8	Montpellier	18	6	8	4	-2	26
9	Nice	18	7	4	7	+1	25
10	Marseille	18	6	6	6	-2	24
11	St Etienne	18	7	3	8	-3	24
12	Angers	18	6	5	7	-10	23
13	Reims	18	5	7	6	+1	22
14	Strasbourg	18	6	4	8	-3	22
15	Nimes	18	6	3	9	-12	21
16	Nantes	18	5	5	8	-4	20
17	Bordeaux	18	5	2	11	-13	17
18	Brest	18	3	3	12	-15	12
19	Lorient	18	1	6	11	-20	9
20	Dijon	18	2	3	13	-26	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.