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Eliteserien

Referee: Tom Harald Hagen

Aalesund

T U T S S

0–2

Full-time

Molde

T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Molde

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,0

3,5

Scored

1,3

Conceded

2,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,8

This season — Eliteserien · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 34%

26%

42%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

53%

63%

Both score Ø 56%

53%

58%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%

11 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 5

2 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aalesund 14. · Molde 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	19	14	4	1	+30	46
2	Odd	19	11	4	4	+10	37
3	Brann	20	11	3	6	+11	36
4	Stromsgodset	19	10	3	6	+8	33
5	Haugesund	19	9	4	6	+3	31
6	Sarpsborg 08	19	9	4	6	+0	31
7	Viking	19	9	3	7	-2	30
8	Molde	19	8	4	7	+0	28
9	Sogndal	19	6	8	5	+1	26
10	Valerenga	20	7	3	10	-1	24
11	Lillestrom	20	5	6	9	-4	21
12	Tromso	19	5	6	8	-6	21
13	Bodo/Glimt	20	5	5	10	-6	20
14	Aalesund	19	5	4	10	-11	19
15	Stabaek	19	4	4	11	-8	16
16	Start	19	0	7	12	-25	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	9	9	0	0	+23	27
2	Stromsgodset	10	8	2	0	+15	26
3	Brann	9	8	1	0	+16	25
4	Molde	10	6	2	2	+10	20
5	Odd	10	6	2	2	+7	20
6	Haugesund	9	5	3	1	+10	18
7	Sarpsborg 08	10	5	3	2	+7	18
8	Valerenga	10	5	1	4	+7	16
9	Lillestrom	10	4	2	4	+4	14
10	Sogndal	10	3	5	2	+1	14
11	Aalesund	9	3	3	3	+4	12
12	Bodo/Glimt	11	3	3	5	-3	12
13	Viking	9	3	2	4	-1	11
14	Tromso	9	2	3	4	-1	9
15	Stabaek	9	2	1	6	-6	7
16	Start	10	0	3	7	-17	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	10	5	4	1	+7	19
2	Viking	10	6	1	3	-1	19
3	Odd	9	5	2	2	+3	17
4	Haugesund	10	4	1	5	-7	13
5	Sarpsborg 08	9	4	1	4	-7	13
6	Sogndal	9	3	3	3	+0	12
7	Tromso	10	3	3	4	-5	12
8	Brann	11	3	2	6	-5	11
9	Stabaek	10	2	3	5	-2	9
10	Bodo/Glimt	9	2	2	5	-3	8
11	Valerenga	10	2	2	6	-8	8
12	Molde	9	2	2	5	-10	8
13	Stromsgodset	9	2	1	6	-7	7
14	Lillestrom	10	1	4	5	-8	7
15	Aalesund	10	2	1	7	-15	7
16	Start	9	0	4	5	-8	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.