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Bundesliga
Referee: Frank Willenborg
Augsburg
S U T T S
1–1
Full-time
M'gladbach
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg M'gladbach
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
18 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Augsburg 5. · M'gladbach 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 2 1 1 0 +3 4
2 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Ein Frankfurt 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 M'gladbach 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Augsburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Wolfsburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Hertha 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Hannover 2 0 2 0 +0 2
10 Werder Bremen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Schalke 04 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Nurnberg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Stuttgart 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Hoffenheim 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Freiburg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Leverkusen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 RB Leipzig 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg M'gladbach
1–0 M. Gregoritsch
P. Max
12′
Philipp Max 🟨
20′
23′
🟨 Tobias Strobl
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 D. Zakaria
↦ L. Beyer
46′
🔁 A. Pléa
↦ Raffael
68′
A. Pléa 1–1
T. Strobl
Caiuby 🔁
↦ M. Richter
72′
F. Götze 🔁
↦ Koo Ja-Cheol
75′
78′
🟨 Fabian Johnson
89′
🔁 M. Cuisance
↦ F. Neuhaus
Ji Dong-Won 🔁
↦ M. Gregoritsch
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Augsburg

4-3-3
13 F. Giefer G
36 M. Hinteregger D
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
31 P. Max D
10 D. Baier M
28 A. Hahn F
17 J. Schmid M
19 Koo Ja-Cheol M
11 M. Gregoritsch M
8 R. Khedira M
23 M. Richter M
Bench (7)
30 Caiuby
4 F. Götze
22 Ji Dong-Won
1 A. Luthe
21 S. Córdova
32 R. Framberger
38 K. Danso

Coach: M. Baum

M'gladbach

4-3-3
1 Y. Sommer G
17 O. Wendt D
24 T. Jantschke D
28 M. Ginter D
15 L. Beyer D
19 F. Johnson M
5 T. Strobl M
23 J. Hofmann M
32 F. Neuhaus M
11 Raffael F
10 T. Hazard M
Bench (7)
8 D. Zakaria
14 A. Pléa
27 M. Cuisance
7 P. Herrmann
21 T. Sippel
22 L. Bénes
40 A. Poulsen

Coach: D. Hecking

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Frank Willenborg · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.