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Bundesliga

Referee: Deniz Aytekin

Freiburg

S T S T T

3–3

Full-time

Stuttgart

S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Stuttgart

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

0,5

0,0

Conceded

2,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%

12 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 8

1 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Freiburg 16. · Stuttgart 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Dortmund	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Wolfsburg	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Hertha	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	M'gladbach	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Mainz	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Werder Bremen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Augsburg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	RB Leipzig	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Ein Frankfurt	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Hannover	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Nurnberg	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Schalke 04	3	0	0	3	-4	0
16	Freiburg	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Stuttgart	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Leverkusen	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	M'gladbach	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Mainz	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	RB Leipzig	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Werder Bremen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Augsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hertha	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Augsburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Mainz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Dortmund	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Hannover	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Nurnberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Schalke 04	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Hoffenheim	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Leverkusen	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.