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Bundesliga

Referee: Marco Fritz

RB Leipzig

T T S S T

1–1

Full-time

Fortuna Dusseldorf

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 92%

83%

100%

Average goals

5,0

3,0

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

2,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

5,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

4,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

-3,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

68% Possession 32%

24 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 2

7 Goalkeeper saves 7

3 Corners 3

2 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match RB Leipzig 15. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Wolfsburg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Dortmund	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	M'gladbach	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Augsburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Werder Bremen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Mainz	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Hannover	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Nurnberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Freiburg	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Leverkusen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Stuttgart	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Augsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Werder Bremen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Mainz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Dortmund	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Nurnberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.