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Bundesliga
Referee: Benjamin Cortus
Freiburg
S U T U T
0–0
Full-time
Dortmund
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Dortmund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
0,5
2,5
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

17% Possession 83%
6 Shots 27
2 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 13
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 11
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Freiburg 15. · Dortmund 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Bayern Munich 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 RB Leipzig 3 2 0 1 +3 6
4 Hannover 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Hamburg 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 M'gladbach 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Hoffenheim 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Schalke 04 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 Hertha 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Stuttgart 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Wolfsburg 2 1 0 1 -2 3
12 Augsburg 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Ein Frankfurt 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Leverkusen 2 0 1 1 -2 1
15 Freiburg 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 Mainz 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 FC Koln 2 0 0 2 -3 0
18 Werder Bremen 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Freiburg Dortmund
18′
🔁 Ö. Toprak
↦ Bartra
Yoric Ravet 🟥
29′
31′
🔁 D. Zagadou
↦ M. Schmelzer
M. Frantz 🔁
↦ V. Sierro
43′
Half-time 0–0
F. Niederlechner 🔁
↦ T. Kleindienst
65′
79′
🔁 A. Yarmolenko
↦ M. Götze
P. Stenzel 🔁
↦ M. Terrazzino
89′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Freiburg

4-4-2
1 A. Schwolow G
17 L. Kübler D
30 C. Günter D
3 P. Lienhart D
4 C. Söyüncü D
6 A. Abrashi M
16 Y. Ravet M
19 J. Haberer M
22 V. Sierro M
13 M. Terrazzino M
34 T. Kleindienst F
Bench (7)
8 M. Frantz
7 F. Niederlechner
15 P. Stenzel
25 R. Koch
32 B. Kapustka
38 F. Kath
44 R. Gikiewicz

Coach: C. Streich

Dortmund

4-3-3
38 R. Bürki G
26 Ł. Piszczek D
25 S. Papastathopoulos D
29 M. Schmelzer D
5 Bartra D
8 N. Şahin M
27 G. Castro M
10 M. Götze M
22 C. Pulisic M
17 P. Aubameyang F
20 M. Philipp F
Bench (7)
36 Ö. Toprak
2 D. Zagadou
9 A. Yarmolenko
1 R. Weidenfeller
14 A. Isak
19 M. Dahoud
23 S. Kagawa

Coach: P. Bosz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Benjamin Cortus · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.