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La Liga
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano
Barcelona
S S S S S
5–0
Full-time
Espanol
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Espanol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,2
Scored
3,2
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,5
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,0
1,5
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

76% Possession 24%
20 Shots 9
9 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barcelona 3. · Espanol 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sevilla 3 2 1 0 +4 7
2 Sociedad 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Barcelona 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Leganes 3 2 0 1 +1 6
5 Ath Madrid 3 1 2 0 +4 5
6 Real Madrid 3 1 2 0 +3 5
7 Levante 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Valencia 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Girona 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Ath Bilbao 2 1 1 0 +1 4
11 Getafe 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Betis 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Eibar 3 1 0 2 -3 3
14 Espanol 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 La Coruna 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 Celta 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Malaga 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Alaves 2 0 0 2 -3 0
19 Villarreal 2 0 0 2 -4 0
20 Las Palmas 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barcelona Espanol
Sergio Busquets 🟨
21′
1–0 L. Messi
I. Rakitić
26′
29′
🟨 David López
2–0 L. Messi
Jordi Alba
35′
Half-time 2–0
57′
🔁 Sergio García
↦ P. Piatti
60′
🟨 Víctor Sánchez
3–0 L. Messi
Jordi Alba
67′
O. Dembélé 🔁
↦ Deulofeu
68′
68′
🔁 Marc Navarro
↦ Víctor Sánchez
71′
🟨 Sergi Darder
Paulinho 🔁
↦ Sergio Busquets
73′
74′
🟨 Aarón Martin Caricol
75′
🔁 Dídac Vilá
↦ Sergi Darder
André Gomes 🔁
↦ Iniesta
77′
84′
🟨 Papakouli Diop
4–0 Piqué
I. Rakitić
87′
5–0 L. Suárez
O. Dembélé
90′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Barcelona

4-4-2
1 M. ter Stegen G
3 Piqué D
18 Jordi Alba D
23 S. Umtiti D
2 Nélson Semedo D
8 Iniesta M
4 I. Rakitić M
5 Sergio Busquets M
10 L. Messi F
9 L. Suárez F
16 Deulofeu F
Bench (7)
11 O. Dembélé
15 Paulinho
21 André Gomes
13 J. Cillessen
14 J. Mascherano
17 Paco Alcácer
19 L. Digne

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Espanol

4-4-2
1 Pau López G
22 Mario Hermoso D
3 Aarón Martín D
20 P. Diop M
18 Javi Fuego M
4 Víctor Sánchez M
19 P. Piatti M
15 David López D
25 Sergi Darder M
7 Gerard Moreno F
11 Léo Baptistão F
Bench (7)
9 Sergio García
2 Marc Navarro
12 Dídac Vilá
5 Naldo
10 José Jurado
13 Diego López
21 Marc Roca

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jesus Gil Manzano · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.