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Bundesliga
Referee: Robert Kampka
Freiburg
S S T S T
2–0
Full-time
Schalke 04
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 39%
42%
35%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
71%
45%
Both score Ø 60%
65%
55%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

39% Possession 61%
13 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Freiburg 8. · Schalke 04 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 32 23 7 2 +63 76
2 RB Leipzig 32 20 6 6 +28 66
3 Dortmund 32 17 9 6 +31 60
4 Hoffenheim 32 15 13 4 +25 58
5 Hertha 32 14 4 14 -2 46
6 FC Koln 32 11 12 9 +7 45
7 Werder Bremen 32 13 6 13 +0 45
8 Freiburg 31 13 5 13 -17 44
9 M'gladbach 32 12 7 13 -4 43
10 Schalke 04 31 11 8 12 +7 41
11 Ein Frankfurt 32 11 8 13 -5 41
12 Leverkusen 32 10 7 15 -6 37
13 Augsburg 32 9 9 14 -16 36
14 Wolfsburg 32 10 6 16 -17 36
15 Mainz 32 9 7 16 -11 34
16 Hamburg 32 9 7 16 -29 34
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 32 8 6 18 -21 30
18 Darmstadt 32 7 3 22 -33 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Dec -16 Schalke 04 – Freiburg 1–1

Match report

Freiburg Schalke 04
1–0 F. Niederlechner
J. Haberer
22′
2–0 F. Niederlechner
31′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🟨 Benedikt Höwedes
46′
🔁 K. Huntelaar
↦ B. Stambouli
61′
🔁 D. Avdijaj
↦ Y. Konoplyanka
63′
🟨 Donis Avdijaj
N. Petersen 🔁
↦ M. Philipp
69′
V. Grifo 🔁
↦ F. Niederlechner
75′
76′
🔁 F. Di Santo
↦ D. Caligiuri
P. Stenzel 🔁
↦ O. Bulut
88′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Freiburg

4-4-2
1 A. Schwolow G
2 A. Ignjovski M
5 M. Gulde D
20 M. Kempf D
30 C. Günter D
6 A. Abrashi M
27 N. Höfler M
26 M. Philipp F
19 J. Haberer M
11 O. Bulut M
7 F. Niederlechner F
Bench (7)
18 N. Petersen
32 V. Grifo
15 P. Stenzel
17 L. Kübler
23 J. Schuster
31 K. Guédé
44 R. Gikiewicz

Coach: C. Streich

Schalke 04

4-2-3-1
1 R. Fährmann G
4 B. Höwedes D
24 H. Badstuber D
23 Coke D
6 S. Kolašinac D
18 D. Caligiuri M
11 Y. Konoplyanka F
17 B. Stambouli D
8 L. Goretzka M
10 N. Bentaleb M
19 G. Burgstaller F
Bench (7)
25 K. Huntelaar
33 D. Avdijaj
9 F. Di Santo
5 J. Geis
20 T. Kehrer
31 M. Nastasić
35 A. Nübel

Coach: M. Weinzierl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Robert Kampka · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.