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Championship
Referee: Peter Bankes
Preston
S U T S U
1–1
Full-time
Barnsley
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Preston Barnsley
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
0%
83%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
0,7
2,8
Scored
0,3
1,2
Conceded
0,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Championship · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
0%
80%
Both score Ø 30%
0%
60%
Average goals
0,6
2,8
Scored
0,4
1,4
Conceded
0,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%
17 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Preston 8. · Barnsley 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cardiff 5 5 0 0 +8 15
2 Ipswich 5 4 0 1 +3 12
3 Leeds 5 3 2 0 +5 11
4 Derby 6 3 1 2 +3 10
5 Wolves 5 3 1 1 +3 10
6 Sheffield United 5 3 0 2 +1 9
7 Nott'm Forest 5 3 0 2 +0 9
8 Preston 5 2 2 1 +1 8
9 Middlesbrough 5 2 1 2 +1 7
10 Hull 6 2 1 3 +0 7
11 QPR 5 2 1 2 +0 7
12 Reading 5 2 1 2 +0 7
13 Bristol City 5 1 3 1 +1 6
14 Fulham 5 1 3 1 +1 6
15 Barnsley 5 2 0 3 +0 6
16 Sheffield Weds 5 1 3 1 +0 6
17 Millwall 5 1 2 2 +2 5
18 Aston Villa 5 1 2 2 -2 5
19 Sunderland 5 1 2 2 -3 5
20 Birmingham 5 1 1 3 -3 4
21 Burton Albion 5 1 1 3 -5 4
22 Norwich 5 1 1 3 -6 4
23 Brentford 5 0 2 3 -4 2
24 Bolton 5 0 2 3 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Preston Barnsley
1–0 S. Maguire
T. Barkhuizen
23′
25′
B. Potts 1–1
Jordan Hugill 🟨
36′
Half-time 1–1
50′
🟨 Jason McCarthy
67′
🔁 G. Moncur
↦ G. Gardner
J. Harrop 🔁
↦ T. Barkhuizen
70′
J. Welsh 🔁
↦ P. Gallagher
70′
71′
🔁 H. Barnes
↦ R. Hedges
C. Robinson 🔁
↦ S. Mavididi
78′
82′
🔁 T. Bradshaw
↦ A. Hammill
87′
🟨 Matthew Pearson
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Preston

4-4-2
22 C. Maxwell G
23 P. Huntington D
17 T. Spurr D
14 D. Fisher D
12 P. Gallagher M
29 T. Barkhuizen M
8 A. Browne M
32 J. Earl D
24 S. Maguire F
9 J. Hugill F
27 S. Mavididi F
Bench (7)
10 J. Harrop
19 J. Welsh
37 C. Robinson
2 M. Vermijl
7 D. Horgan
20 B. Davies
28 M. Hudson

Coach: A. Neil

Barnsley

4-3-3
1 A. Davies G
18 A. Jackson D
24 M. Pearson D
6 L. Lindsay D
2 J. McCarthy D
7 A. Hammill M
22 G. Gardner M
20 B. Potts M
4 J. Williams M
34 R. Hedges M
19 I. Ugbo F
Bench (7)
10 G. Moncur
15 H. Barnes
9 T. Bradshaw
13 N. Townsend
16 E. Pinnock
26 M. Thiam
37 J. Bird

Coach: P. Heckingbottom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Peter Bankes · 118 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.