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Championship

Referee: Simon Hooper

Norwich

U T S T T

1–0

Full-time

Birmingham

T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Birmingham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,7

1,7

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

This season — Championship · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 20%

20%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

60%

40%

Both score Ø 50%

60%

40%

Average goals

3,6

1,8

Scored

1,2

0,6

Conceded

2,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%

14 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 6

2 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Norwich 22. · Birmingham 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cardiff	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Ipswich	5	4	0	1	+3	12
3	Leeds	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	Derby	6	3	1	2	+3	10
5	Wolves	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Sheffield United	5	3	0	2	+1	9
7	Nott'm Forest	5	3	0	2	+0	9
8	Preston	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Middlesbrough	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Hull	6	2	1	3	+0	7
11	QPR	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Reading	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	Bristol City	5	1	3	1	+1	6
14	Fulham	5	1	3	1	+1	6
15	Barnsley	5	2	0	3	+0	6
16	Sheffield Weds	5	1	3	1	+0	6
17	Millwall	5	1	2	2	+2	5
18	Aston Villa	5	1	2	2	-2	5
19	Sunderland	5	1	2	2	-3	5
20	Birmingham	5	1	1	3	-3	4
21	Burton Albion	5	1	1	3	-5	4
22	Norwich	5	1	1	3	-6	4
23	Brentford	5	0	2	3	-4	2
24	Bolton	5	0	2	3	-6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cardiff	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Sheffield United	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Middlesbrough	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Hull	3	2	0	1	+6	6
5	Derby	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Barnsley	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	QPR	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Preston	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Ipswich	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Nott'm Forest	3	2	0	1	+0	6
11	Bristol City	3	1	2	0	+2	5
12	Millwall	3	1	1	1	+3	4
13	Aston Villa	2	1	1	0	+2	4
14	Reading	2	1	1	0	+1	4
15	Burton Albion	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Birmingham	3	1	1	1	-1	4
17	Norwich	2	1	0	1	+0	3
18	Wolves	2	1	0	1	+0	3
19	Sheffield Weds	2	0	2	0	+0	2
20	Leeds	2	0	2	0	+0	2
21	Brentford	3	0	2	1	-1	2
22	Fulham	2	0	1	1	-1	1
23	Sunderland	2	0	1	1	-2	1
24	Bolton	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leeds	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Wolves	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Ipswich	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Cardiff	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Fulham	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Sheffield Weds	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Sunderland	3	1	1	1	-1	4
8	Derby	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Nott'm Forest	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Reading	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Preston	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Bolton	3	0	2	1	-4	2
13	Bristol City	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Millwall	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	QPR	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Aston Villa	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Norwich	3	0	1	2	-6	1
18	Hull	3	0	1	2	-6	1
19	Middlesbrough	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Birmingham	2	0	0	2	-2	0
21	Barnsley	2	0	0	2	-3	0
22	Brentford	2	0	0	2	-3	0
23	Sheffield United	2	0	0	2	-3	0
24	Burton Albion	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.