Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Bolton
Middlesbrough
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cardiff
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |
Ipswich
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 3 |
Leeds
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |
Derby
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 5 |
Wolves
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |
Sheffield United
|
5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 7 |
Nott'm Forest
|
5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +0 | 9 |
| 8 |
Preston
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 8 |
| 9 |
Middlesbrough
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Hull
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +0 | 7 |
| 11 |
QPR
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +0 | 7 |
| 12 |
Reading
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +0 | 7 |
| 13 |
Bristol City
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |
Fulham
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 15 |
Barnsley
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +0 | 6 |
| 16 |
Sheffield Weds
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +0 | 6 |
| 17 |
Millwall
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 5 |
| 18 |
Aston Villa
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 19 |
Sunderland
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 |
| 20 |
Birmingham
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 21 |
Burton Albion
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 22 |
Norwich
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 4 |
| 23 |
Brentford
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 2 |
| 24 |
Bolton
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 2 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Robinson
D
Coach: J. Phillips
C. Christie
D
B. Gibson
D
Adama Traoré
F
D. Fry
D
Coach: G. Monk
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Hull
Bolton
Bolton
Derby
Birmingham
Bolton
Millwall
Bolton
Bolton
Leeds
Geoff Eltringham · 87 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.