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Serie A

Referee: Michael Fabbri

Juventus

T S S S S

3–0

Full-time

Chievo

U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Chievo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,5

3,2

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

4,5

3,0

Scored

3,5

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%

15 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

10 Corners 6

4 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Juventus 1. · Chievo 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Milan	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Sampdoria	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Torino	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Spal	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Bologna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Chievo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Roma	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Genoa	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Verona	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Crotone	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Udinese	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Benevento	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Atalanta	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Cagliari	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Fiorentina	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Torino	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Inter	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Spal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Lazio	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Sassuolo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Crotone	2	0	1	1	-3	1
12	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Chievo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Roma	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Verona	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Inter	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Chievo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Spal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Cagliari	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.