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Bundesliga
Referee: Marco Fritz
Dortmund
U S U S S
2–0
Full-time
Hertha
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
3,0
2,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

66% Possession 34%
18 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 4
4 Offside 5
12 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dortmund 5. · Hertha 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Hamburg 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 M'gladbach 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 Hoffenheim 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Hertha 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Schalke 04 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Hannover 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Stuttgart 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Wolfsburg 2 1 0 1 -2 3
11 Freiburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Augsburg 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Ein Frankfurt 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Leverkusen 2 0 1 1 -2 1
15 Mainz 2 0 0 2 -2 0
16 RB Leipzig 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 FC Koln 2 0 0 2 -3 0
18 Werder Bremen 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dortmund Hertha
1–0 P. Aubameyang
N. Şahin
15′
Sokratis 🟨
30′
Ö. Toprak 🔁
↦ S. Papastathopoulos
40′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 N. Şahin
57′
58′
🔁 A. Esswein
↦ V. Ibišević
58′
🔁 G. Haraguchi
↦ S. Kalou
S. Kagawa 🔁
↦ M. Götze
63′
66′
🟨 Marvin Plattenhardt
M. Dahoud 🔁
↦ M. Philipp
80′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Dortmund

4-3-3
38 R. Bürki G
26 Ł. Piszczek D
25 S. Papastathopoulos D
5 Bartra D
2 D. Zagadou D
8 N. Şahin M
27 G. Castro M
10 M. Götze M
22 C. Pulisic M
17 P. Aubameyang F
20 M. Philipp F
Bench (7)
36 Ö. Toprak
23 S. Kagawa
19 M. Dahoud
1 R. Weidenfeller
4 N. Subotić
14 A. Isak
30 F. Passlack

Coach: P. Bosz

Hertha

4-2-3-1
22 R. Jarstein G
15 S. Langkamp D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
4 K. Rekik D
5 N. Stark D
8 S. Kalou M
3 P. Skjelbred M
11 M. Leckie M
6 V. Darida M
23 M. Weiser D
19 V. Ibišević F
Bench (7)
7 A. Esswein
24 G. Haraguchi
1 T. Kraft
2 P. Pekarík
14 V. Stocker
25 J. Torunarigha
28 F. Lustenberger

Coach: P. Dárdai

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Marco Fritz · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.