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Bundesliga
Referee: Tobias Stieler
Augsburg
U U U T U
3–0
Full-time
FC Koln
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

33% Possession 67%
10 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 9
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 13
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Augsburg 12. · FC Koln 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Bayern Munich 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 RB Leipzig 3 2 0 1 +3 6
4 Hannover 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Hamburg 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 M'gladbach 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Hoffenheim 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Schalke 04 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 Hertha 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Stuttgart 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Wolfsburg 2 1 0 1 -2 3
12 Augsburg 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Ein Frankfurt 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Leverkusen 2 0 1 1 -2 1
15 Freiburg 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 Mainz 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 FC Koln 2 0 0 2 -3 0
18 Werder Bremen 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg FC Koln
1–0 A. Finnbogason
P. Max
21′
2–0 A. Finnbogason
32′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Jorge Meré
↦ F. Sørensen
S. Córdova 🔁
↦ M. Gregoritsch
66′
J. Morávek 🔁
↦ R. Khedira
71′
73′
🔁 S. Guirassy
↦ L. Klünter
E. Thommy 🔁
↦ M. Heller
89′
3–0 A. Finnbogason
94′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Augsburg

4-2-3-1
35 M. Hitz G
4 D. Opare D
36 M. Hinteregger D
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
31 P. Max D
7 M. Heller M
10 D. Baier M
30 Caiuby M
8 R. Khedira M
27 A. Finnbogason F
11 M. Gregoritsch M
Bench (7)
21 S. Córdova
14 J. Morávek
26 E. Thommy
1 A. Luthe
3 K. Stafylidis
17 J. Schmid
20 G. Kačar

Coach: M. Baum

FC Koln

4-4-2
1 T. Horn G
14 J. Hector M
4 F. Sørensen D
3 D. Heintz D
24 L. Klünter D
33 M. Lehmann M
6 M. Höger M
21 L. Bittencourt M
11 S. Zoller F
13 Y. Ōsako F
15 J. Córdoba F
Bench (7)
22 Jorge Meré
19 S. Guirassy
5 D. Maroh
17 C. Clemens
18 T. Kessler
23 J. Horn
34 K. Raush

Coach: P. Stöger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tobias Stieler · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.