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Bundesliga

Referee: Christian Dingert

RB Leipzig

U S T U T

4–1

Full-time

Freiburg

T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

2,0

0,0

Scored

0,0

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%

29 Shots 7

11 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

8 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match RB Leipzig 16. · Freiburg 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Hamburg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	M'gladbach	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Hoffenheim	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Hannover	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Hertha	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Wolfsburg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Freiburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Augsburg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Leverkusen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Mainz	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	FC Koln	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Werder Bremen	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Augsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Leverkusen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Freiburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Wolfsburg	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Hannover	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Hoffenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.