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Championship

Referee: Andy Madley

Middlesbrough

U T U U S

1–0

Full-time

Birmingham

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough Birmingham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,5

Scored

1,5

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

This season — Championship · 2/1 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,5

4,0

Scored

2,5

2,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

10 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 9

9 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Middlesbrough 1. · Birmingham 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Middlesbrough	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Wigan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Swansea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Bolton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Derby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Preston	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Nott'm Forest	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Ipswich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Blackburn	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Millwall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Bristol City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	West Brom	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Sheffield Weds	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	QPR	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Stoke	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Hull	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Sheffield United	2	0	0	2	-4	0
24	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Wigan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Preston	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ipswich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Millwall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Nott'm Forest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Bristol City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Hull	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Swansea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Bolton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Derby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Blackburn	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Middlesbrough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	West Brom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Nott'm Forest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Sheffield Weds	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	QPR	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Stoke	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-3	0
14	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.