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Championship
Referee: Robert Jones
Ipswich
U T U T T
1–1
Full-time
Norwich
U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ipswich Norwich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
4,2
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,7
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,2
This season — Championship · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 10%
0%
20%
Points per game
0,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
40%
80%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,4
3,8
Scored
0,8
1,6
Conceded
1,6
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
18 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 6
12 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ipswich 24. · Norwich 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 6 4 2 0 +7 14
2 Derby 5 4 0 1 +5 12
3 Sheffield United 6 4 0 2 +4 12
4 Leeds 5 3 2 0 +7 11
5 Brentford 6 3 2 1 +6 11
6 Swansea 6 3 2 1 +2 11
7 Bolton 6 3 2 1 +0 11
8 West Brom 6 3 1 2 +6 10
9 Wigan 6 3 1 2 +3 10
10 Sheffield Weds 6 3 1 2 +0 10
11 Blackburn 5 2 3 0 +2 9
12 Aston Villa 6 2 3 1 +0 9
13 Bristol City 5 2 2 1 +2 8
14 Nott'm Forest 6 1 4 1 +0 7
15 Rotherham 6 2 0 4 -6 6
16 Millwall 6 1 2 3 -2 5
17 Stoke 6 1 2 3 -4 5
18 Preston 6 1 2 3 -4 5
19 Birmingham 6 0 4 2 -2 4
20 Norwich 5 1 1 3 -3 4
21 Hull 6 1 1 4 -5 4
22 QPR 6 1 1 4 -10 4
23 Reading 6 0 2 4 -4 2
24 Ipswich 5 0 2 3 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ipswich Norwich
Luke Chambers 🟨
26′
Jordan Graham 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 B. Godfrey
↦ T. Klose
49′
🟨 Ben Godfrey
T. Chalobah 🔁
↦ C. Skuse
52′
1–0 G. Edwards
J. Walters
57′
64′
🔁 L. Thompson
↦ E. Buendía
71′
M. Leitner 1–1
79′
🔁 D. Srbeny
↦ J. Rhodes
G. Ward 🔁
↦ J. Graham
82′
E. Harrison 🔁
↦ K. Jackson
84′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ipswich

4-4-2
1 D. Gerken G
4 L. Chambers D
12 J. Spence D
3 J. Knudsen D
5 M. Pennington D
8 C. Skuse M
11 J. Nolan M
7 G. Edwards M
14 J. Graham F
39 J. Walters F
9 K. Jackson F
Bench (7)
6 T. Chalobah
18 G. Ward
10 E. Harrison
21 F. Downes
25 A. Edun
30 M. Kenlock
33 B. Bialkowski

Coach: P. Hurst

Norwich

4-2-3-1
1 T. Krul G
15 T. Klose D
31 G. Hanley D
27 A. Tettey M
10 M. Leitner M
25 O. Hernández M
17 E. Buendía M
12 J. Lewis D
37 M. Aarons D
22 T. Pukki F
11 J. Rhodes F
Bench (7)
4 B. Godfrey
34 L. Thompson
32 D. Srbeny
6 C. Zimmermann
18 M. Stiepermann
19 T. Trybull
33 M. McGovern

Coach: D. Farke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Robert Jones · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.