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Championship
Referee: Tony Harrington
West Brom
S T T U S
7–1
Full-time
QPR
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Brom QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — Championship · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%
15 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match West Brom 7. · QPR 24.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 3 2 1 0 +4 7
2 Swansea 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Aston Villa 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Nott'm Forest 3 1 2 0 +1 5
5 Brentford 2 1 1 0 +4 4
6 Bolton 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 West Brom 3 1 1 1 +0 4
8 Leeds 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Derby 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Wigan 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Preston 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Sheffield United 3 1 0 2 -3 3
13 Rotherham 2 1 0 1 -3 3
14 Bristol City 2 0 2 0 +0 2
15 Blackburn 2 0 2 0 +0 2
16 Millwall 2 0 2 0 +0 2
17 Birmingham 3 0 2 1 -1 2
18 Norwich 2 0 1 1 -1 1
19 Sheffield Weds 2 0 1 1 -1 1
20 Ipswich 2 0 1 1 -1 1
21 Stoke 2 0 1 1 -2 1
22 Hull 2 0 1 1 -2 1
23 Reading 2 0 0 2 -2 0
24 QPR 2 0 0 2 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

West Brom QPR
Chris Brunt 🟨
18′
1–0 M. Phillips
29′
34′
J. Lynch 1–1
M. Smith
Kyle Bartley 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 K. Gibbs
53′
54′
🟨 Josh Scowen
3–1 J. Rodriguez
56′
58′
🔁 C. Washington
↦ E. Eze
4–1 D. Gayle
K. Gibbs
67′
G. Barry 🔁
↦ C. Brunt
73′
77′
🔁 A. Baptiste
↦ J. Lynch
81′
🔁 P. Wszołek
↦ M. Smith
5–1 J. Rodriguez
82′
H. Robson-Kanu 🔁
↦ D. Gayle
83′
J. Morrison 🔁
↦ H. Barnes
86′
6–1 M. Phillips
H. Robson-Kanu
88′
7–1 H. Robson-Kanu
J. Morrison
91′
Full-time 7–1

Line-ups

West Brom

3-4-1-2
1 S. Johnstone G
3 K. Gibbs D
26 Ahmed Hegazi D
5 K. Bartley D
24 T. Adarabioyo D
11 C. Brunt M
10 M. Phillips M
8 J. Livermore M
15 H. Barnes F
19 J. Rodriguez F
16 D. Gayle F
Bench (7)
18 G. Barry
4 H. Robson-Kanu
7 J. Morrison
13 G. Myhill
14 C. Townsend
17 O. Burke
28 S. Field

Coach: D. Moore

QPR

4-2-3-1
1 M. Ingram G
33 J. Lynch D
3 J. Bidwell D
37 T. Leistner D
24 O. Kakay D
8 J. Cousins M
11 J. Scowen M
21 M. Luongo M
10 E. Eze F
7 L. Freeman M
17 M. Smith F
Bench (7)
9 C. Washington
15 A. Baptiste
23 P. Wszołek
13 J. Lumley
19 I. Chair
38 P. Smyth
40 Idrissa Sylla

Coach: S. McClaren

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tony Harrington · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.