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Championship
Referee: John Brooks
Bolton
U T T S S
2–2
Full-time
Bristol City
T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bolton Bristol City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,3
4,0
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
2,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
This season — Championship · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

30% Possession 70%
7 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 10
2 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 6
6 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bolton 7. · Bristol City 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 2 1 1 0 +3 4
2 Brentford 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Leeds 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Aston Villa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Wigan 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Swansea 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Bolton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Derby 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Preston 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Nott'm Forest 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Ipswich 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Blackburn 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Birmingham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Norwich 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Millwall 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Bristol City 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 West Brom 2 0 1 1 -1 1
18 Sheffield Weds 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Reading 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 QPR 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Stoke 1 0 0 1 -2 0
22 Hull 1 0 0 1 -2 0
23 Sheffield United 2 0 0 2 -4 0
24 Rotherham 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bolton Bristol City
Half-time 0–0
53′
🟨 Niclas Eliasson
1–0 W. Buckley
D. Wheater
57′
60′
🟨 Jack Hunt
2–0 J. Magennis
P. Olkowski
60′
Luke Murphy 🟨
63′
64′
A. Weimann 2–1
M. Pack
G. O'Neil 🔁
↦ L. Murphy
66′
66′
🔁 M. Watkins
↦ C. ODowda
Josh Vela 🟨
67′
Y. Wildschut 🔁
↦ W. Buckley
74′
A. Le Fondre 🔁
↦ C. Noone
80′
81′
J. Paterson 2–2
J. Hunt
Andrew Taylor 🟨
84′
87′
🔁 M. Taylor
↦ A. Weimann
Adam Le Fondre 🟨
89′
Gary O'Neil 🟨
90′
Mark Beevers 🟨
90′
94′
🔁 Mohamed Eisa
↦ N. Eliasson
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Bolton

4-3-3
1 B. Alnwick G
3 A. Taylor D
31 D. Wheater D
5 M. Beevers D
16 P. Olkowski D
12 C. Noone M
11 W. Buckley M
15 L. Murphy M
4 J. Lowe M
6 J. Vela M
28 J. Magennis F
Bench (7)
19 G. O'Neil
30 Y. Wildschut
9 A. Le Fondre
2 M. Little
7 E. Oztumer
14 J. Hobbs
27 B. Williams

Coach: J. Phillips

Bristol City

4-4-2
33 N. Mäenpää G
4 A. Webster D
32 J. Hunt D
6 N. Baker D
17 L. Kelly D
21 M. Pack M
11 C. O'Dowda M
19 N. Eliasson M
8 J. Brownhill M
14 A. Weimann M
20 J. Paterson M
Bench (7)
15 M. Watkins
10 M. Taylor
40 Mohamed Eisa
2 E. Pisano
7 K. Smith
12 L. Walsh
24 M. O’Leary

Coach: L. Johnson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

John Brooks · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.