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Premier League
Referee: Mike Dean
Leicester
T T S T T
2–0
Full-time
Wolves
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leicester Wolves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
2,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,8
This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

42% Possession 58%
6 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 9
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leicester 15. · Wolves 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Chelsea 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Bournemouth 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Watford 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Man City 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Crystal Palace 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Tottenham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Man United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Wolves 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Everton 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Southampton 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Burnley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Newcastle 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Cardiff 2 0 1 1 -2 1
15 Leicester 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Brighton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Arsenal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Fulham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Huddersfield 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 West Ham 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leicester Wolves
0–1 M. Doherty
own goal
29′
1–1 J. Maddison
Ricardo Pereira
45′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 Léo Bonatini
↦ Diogo Jota
46′
🔁 Adama Traoré
↦ Hélder Costa
D. Amartey 🔁
↦ M. Albrighton
60′
Jamie Vardy 🟥
66′
69′
🔁 M. Gibbs-White
↦ M. Doherty
74′
🟨 Morgan Gibbs-White
Jonny Evans 🟨
78′
K. Iheanacho 🔁
↦ J. Maddison
82′
Adrien Silva 🔁
↦ D. Gray
82′
Harry Maguire 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Leicester

4-2-3-1
1 K. Schmeichel G
6 J. Evans D
15 H. Maguire D
14 Ricardo Pereira D
3 B. Chilwell D
11 M. Albrighton M
24 N. Mendy M
25 W. Ndidi M
7 D. Gray M
10 J. Maddison M
9 J. Vardy F
Bench (7)
18 D. Amartey
8 K. Iheanacho
23 Adrien Silva
5 W. Morgan
12 D. Ward
28 C. Fuchs
31 R. Ghezzal

Coach: C. Puel

Wolves

3-4-2-1
11 Rui Patrício G
5 R. Bennett D
15 W. Boly D
2 M. Doherty M
16 C. Coady D
19 Jonny Castro M
28 João Moutinho M
8 Rúben Neves M
18 Diogo Jota F
10 Hélder Costa F
9 R. Jiménez F
Bench (7)
33 Léo Bonatini
37 Adama Traoré
17 M. Gibbs-White
21 J. Ruddy
27 R. Saïss
29 Rúben Vinagre
30 K. Hause

Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mike Dean · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.