Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Burnley
Man United
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Liverpool
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 12 |
| 2 |
Chelsea
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 3 |
Man City
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 10 |
| 4 |
Tottenham
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Watford
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 |
| 6 |
Bournemouth
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 |
Everton
|
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 8 |
Leicester
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 9 |
Arsenal
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +0 | 6 |
| 10 |
Wolves
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 |
Southampton
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +0 | 4 |
| 12 |
Fulham
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 |
Brighton
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 |
Man United
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 |
Cardiff
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 2 |
| 17 |
Huddersfield
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -8 | 2 |
| 18 |
Newcastle
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 |
Burnley
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 20 |
West Ham
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Tarkowski
D
C. Taylor
D
C. Wood
F
D. McNeil
M
Coach: S. Dyche
David de Gea
G
V. Lindelöf
D
L. Shaw
D
N. Matić
M
R. Lukaku
F
Coach: José Mourinho
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Fulham
Burnley
Burnley
Watford
Southampton
Burnley
Burnley
Bournemouth
Arsenal
Burnley
Jonathan Moss · 145 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.