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Premier League

Referee: Kevin Friend

Brighton

U S T T T

3–2

Full-time

Man United

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brighton Man United

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,2

1,7

Scored

0,5

1,2

Conceded

1,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,7

This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

0,0

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

33% Possession 67%

6 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brighton 16. · Man United 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Chelsea	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Watford	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Tottenham	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Bournemouth	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Everton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Leicester	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Man United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Southampton	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Newcastle	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Wolves	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Burnley	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Cardiff	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Brighton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Arsenal	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Fulham	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Huddersfield	2	0	0	2	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Watford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Everton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Man United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Southampton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Arsenal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Watford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Man City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Everton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Arsenal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Cardiff	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Brighton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.