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Premier League
Referee: Andre Marriner
Man United
S S T U S
2–1
Full-time
Leicester
U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man United Leicester
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,3
3,8
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
0,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
8 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 5
4 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Dec -17 Leicester – Man United 2–2 26. Aug -17 Man United – Leicester 2–0 5. Feb -17 Leicester – Man United 0–3 24. Sep -16 Man United – Leicester 4–1 1. May -16 Man United – Leicester 1–1

Match report

Man United Leicester
1–0 P. Pogba ⚽
3′
Half-time 1–0
51′
🟨 Daniel Amartey
Fred 🟨
54′
63′
🔁 J. Vardy
↦ J. Maddison
63′
🔁 R. Ghezzal
↦ D. Amartey
R. Lukaku 🔁
↦ M. Rashford
67′
Andreas Pereira 🟨
69′
S. McTominay 🔁
↦ Fred
76′
80′
🔁 Vicente Iborra
↦ Adrien Silva
2–0 L. Shaw ⚽
Mata
83′
M. Fellaini 🔁
↦ P. Pogba
84′
92′
⚽ J. Vardy 2–1
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Man United

4-3-3
1 David de Gea G
36 M. Darmian D
2 V. Lindelöf D
23 L. Shaw D
3 E. Bailly D
8 Mata F
6 P. Pogba M
17 Fred M
15 Andreas Pereira M
7 A. Sánchez F
10 M. Rashford F
Bench (7)
9 R. Lukaku
39 S. McTominay
27 M. Fellaini
11 A. Martial
12 C. Smalling
13 L. Grant
18 A. Young

Coach: José Mourinho

Leicester

4-2-3-1
1 K. Schmeichel G
5 W. Morgan D
15 H. Maguire D
14 Ricardo Pereira M
3 B. Chilwell D
23 Adrien Silva M
18 D. Amartey D
25 W. Ndidi M
7 D. Gray M
10 J. Maddison M
8 K. Iheanacho F
Bench (7)
9 J. Vardy
31 R. Ghezzal
21 Vicente Iborra
6 J. Evans
11 M. Albrighton
12 D. Ward
28 C. Fuchs

Coach: C. Puel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Andre Marriner · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.