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Premier League

Referee: Andre Marriner

Wolves

T U T U S

1–0

Full-time

Burnley

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolves Burnley

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,3

Scored

0,7

Conceded

1,3

2,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-2,0

This season — Premier League · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%

30 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 2

10 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Wolves 12. · Burnley 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	Liverpool	5	5	0	0	+9	15
3	Man City	5	4	1	0	+11	13
4	Watford	5	4	0	1	+5	12
5	Bournemouth	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Tottenham	5	3	0	2	+4	9
7	Arsenal	5	3	0	2	+1	9
8	Man United	5	3	0	2	+0	9
9	Everton	4	1	3	0	+1	6
10	Leicester	5	2	0	3	-1	6
11	Crystal Palace	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	Wolves	4	1	2	1	-1	5
13	Southampton	4	1	1	2	+0	4
14	Brighton	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Fulham	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Cardiff	5	0	2	3	-6	2
17	Huddersfield	5	0	2	3	-9	2
18	Newcastle	5	0	1	4	-4	1
19	Burnley	4	0	1	3	-6	1
20	West Ham	4	0	0	4	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Chelsea	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Watford	4	3	0	1	+3	9
4	Bournemouth	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Brighton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Everton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Tottenham	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Leicester	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Fulham	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Arsenal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Man United	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Wolves	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Cardiff	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Southampton	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Huddersfield	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Newcastle	3	0	0	3	-3	0
19	Burnley	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Crystal Palace	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Chelsea	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Tottenham	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Man United	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Crystal Palace	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Arsenal	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Man City	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Watford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Southampton	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Bournemouth	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Wolves	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Leicester	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Everton	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Newcastle	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Burnley	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Fulham	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Huddersfield	2	0	1	1	-5	1
18	Cardiff	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Brighton	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.