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Premier League

Referee: Martin Atkinson

Wolves

S U T U T

1–1

Full-time

Man City

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolves Man City

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,3

2,7

Conceded

1,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+2,2

This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

4,5

Scored

1,0

4,0

Conceded

2,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+3,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

28% Possession 72%

11 Shots 18

2 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 9

4 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Wolves 14. · Man City 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Chelsea	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Watford	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Tottenham	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Bournemouth	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Everton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Leicester	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Man United	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Brighton	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Southampton	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Newcastle	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Wolves	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Burnley	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Cardiff	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Arsenal	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Fulham	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Huddersfield	2	0	0	2	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Watford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Everton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Man United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Southampton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Arsenal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Watford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Man City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Everton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Man United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Arsenal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Cardiff	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Brighton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-4	0
20	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.