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Eliteserien

Referee: Tommy Skjerven

Rosenborg

S S U S U

5–2

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,8

0,7

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,7

This season — Eliteserien · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 57%

71%

43%

Points per game

2,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

43%

Both score Ø 32%

43%

21%

Average goals

2,3

2,1

Scored

1,8

1,1

Conceded

0,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%

23 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 4

9 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 6

2 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rosenborg 1. · Sarpsborg 08 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	14	10	3	1	+18	33
2	Odd	14	9	3	2	+9	30
3	Stromsgodset	15	9	2	4	+10	29
4	Viking	15	8	2	5	+2	26
5	Haugesund	14	7	3	4	+6	24
6	Molde	14	7	3	4	+4	24
7	Brann	14	7	2	5	+0	23
8	Sarpsborg 08	14	6	4	4	+0	22
9	Sogndal	14	4	6	4	+0	18
10	Lillestrom	14	4	5	5	+1	17
11	Tromso	14	4	4	6	-7	16
12	Bodo/Glimt	15	4	3	8	-3	15
13	Aalesund	14	3	3	8	-5	12
14	Valerenga	14	3	2	9	-6	11
15	Stabaek	14	3	1	10	-8	10
16	Start	15	0	6	9	-21	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stromsgodset	8	7	1	0	+14	22
2	Rosenborg	7	7	0	0	+14	21
3	Molde	7	5	1	1	+10	16
4	Odd	7	5	1	1	+6	16
5	Brann	6	5	1	0	+6	16
6	Haugesund	7	4	3	0	+8	15
7	Sarpsborg 08	7	3	3	1	+5	12
8	Lillestrom	7	3	2	2	+4	11
9	Viking	8	3	2	3	+1	11
10	Sogndal	7	2	4	1	+1	10
11	Valerenga	7	3	0	4	+3	9
12	Aalesund	7	2	2	3	+2	8
13	Bodo/Glimt	8	2	2	4	-1	8
14	Tromso	6	2	1	3	+0	7
15	Stabaek	7	2	0	5	-5	6
16	Start	8	0	3	5	-14	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Viking	7	5	0	2	+1	15
2	Odd	7	4	2	1	+3	14
3	Rosenborg	7	3	3	1	+4	12
4	Sarpsborg 08	7	3	1	3	-5	10
5	Haugesund	7	3	0	4	-2	9
6	Tromso	8	2	3	3	-7	9
7	Sogndal	7	2	2	3	-1	8
8	Molde	7	2	2	3	-6	8
9	Bodo/Glimt	7	2	1	4	-2	7
10	Stromsgodset	7	2	1	4	-4	7
11	Brann	8	2	1	5	-6	7
12	Lillestrom	7	1	3	3	-3	6
13	Stabaek	7	1	1	5	-3	4
14	Aalesund	7	1	1	5	-7	4
15	Start	7	0	3	4	-7	3
16	Valerenga	7	0	2	5	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.