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Eliteserien
Referee: Tore Hansen
Sarpsborg 08
U T T S U
2–2
Full-time
Rosenborg
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Rosenborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,7
This season — Eliteserien · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 60%
42%
77%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
42%
50%
Both score Ø 41%
27%
54%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,1
2,3
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

35% Possession 65%
6 Shots 25
3 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 12
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 7. · Rosenborg 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 26 20 5 1 +42 65
2 Brann 26 13 6 7 +13 45
3 Odd 26 12 6 8 +7 42
4 Molde 26 12 5 9 +5 41
5 Haugesund 26 11 8 7 +4 41
6 Viking 27 11 7 9 -1 40
7 Sarpsborg 08 26 11 7 8 -2 40
8 Stromsgodset 27 10 7 10 +1 37
9 Sogndal 26 8 11 7 +1 35
10 Aalesund 27 10 5 12 -8 35
11 Valerenga 26 8 6 12 -3 30
12 Bodo/Glimt 27 8 6 13 -5 30
13 Tromso 26 8 6 12 -8 30
14 Stabaek 26 7 6 13 -6 27
15 Lillestrom 26 6 8 12 -7 26
16 Start 26 1 9 16 -33 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Rosenborg
1–0 J. Lindberg
14′
Joachim Thomassen 🟨
21′
K. Jónsson 🔁
↦ J. Thomassen
28′
45′
T. Reginiussen 1–1
Half-time 1–1
Anders Trondsen 🟨
48′
Tor Oyvind Hovda 🟨
50′
2–1 J. Tveita
M. Lund Nielsen
67′
74′
🔁 M. Bakenga
↦ M. Vilhjálmsson
P. Mortensen 🔁
↦ J. Lindberg
75′
M. Sundli 🔁
↦ A. Trondsen
80′
81′
C. Gytkjær 2–2
M. Jensen
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
21 A. Kristiansen
16 J. Thomassen D
20 A. Østli D
29 A. Groven D
15 S. Rosted D
5 M. Lund Nielsen M
10 J. Lindberg F
18 T. Hovda M
22 J. Tveita D
6 A. Trondsen M
7 P. Kirkevold F
Bench (7)
19 K. Jónsson
69 P. Mortensen
4 M. Sundli
1 A. Østbø
8 O. Ugwuadu
23 K. Hansen
24 A. Mbedule

Coach: G. Bakke

Rosenborg

4-3-3
1 André Hansen G
4 T. Reginiussen D
5 H. Eyjólfsson D
16 J. Skjelvik D
2 J. Svensson D
7 M. Jensen M
8 A. Konradsen M
28 G. Thórarinsson M
21 F. Midtsjø M
10 M. Vilhjálmsson F
9 C. Gytkjær F
Bench (6)
27 M. Bakenga
14 J. Bjørdal
18 M. Stamnestrø
22 S. Solli
24 A. Kwarasey
32 E. Reitan

Coach: K. Ingebrigtsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tore Hansen · 217 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.