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Eredivisie

Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie

PSV Eindhoven

S S S S S

3–0

Full-time

Ajax

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 83%

83%

Points per game

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

4,0

3,0

Scored

3,5

2,7

Conceded

0,5

0,3

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+2,3

This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 90%

100%

80%

Points per game

3,0

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 80%

100%

60%

Both score Ø 40%

60%

20%

Average goals

4,8

3,0

Scored

4,2

2,8

Conceded

0,6

0,2

Goal diff per game

+3,6

+2,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

34% Possession 66%

14 Shots 15

8 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 7

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

1 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 1. · Ajax 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+18	15
2	Ajax	5	4	1	0	+13	13
3	Feyenoord	6	4	1	1	+6	13
4	Heracles	6	4	1	1	+4	13
5	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	2	1	+9	11
6	VVV Venlo	6	3	2	1	+4	11
7	Willem II	6	2	2	2	+0	8
8	Den Haag	6	2	1	3	-6	7
9	FC Emmen	6	2	1	3	-7	7
10	For Sittard	6	1	3	2	-2	6
11	Vitesse	5	1	3	1	-2	6
12	Heerenveen	6	1	3	2	-3	6
13	Excelsior	6	1	3	2	-3	6
14	Zwolle	6	2	0	4	-4	6
15	Utrecht	6	1	2	3	-4	5
16	De Graafschap	6	1	1	4	-7	4
17	Groningen	5	1	0	4	-6	3
18	NAC Breda	6	1	0	5	-10	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heracles	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+8	7
4	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+9	6
5	AZ Alkmaar	3	1	2	0	+5	5
6	Willem II	3	1	1	1	+4	4
7	VVV Venlo	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Utrecht	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	NAC Breda	3	1	0	2	+0	3
10	De Graafschap	3	1	0	2	+0	3
11	Den Haag	3	1	0	2	-6	3
12	For Sittard	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Excelsior	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Heerenveen	3	0	1	2	-4	1
15	FC Emmen	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Vitesse	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Zwolle	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Groningen	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	VVV Venlo	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	0	1	+4	6
5	Zwolle	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	FC Emmen	3	2	0	1	-3	6
7	Vitesse	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Heerenveen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Den Haag	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Feyenoord	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	For Sittard	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Excelsior	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Heracles	3	1	1	1	-3	4
14	Willem II	3	1	1	1	-4	4
15	Groningen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
16	Utrecht	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	De Graafschap	3	0	1	2	-7	1
18	NAC Breda	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.