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Primeira Liga

Referee: Rui Manuel Gomes Costa

Benfica

S S S U S

2–0

Full-time

Aves

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Aves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

0,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

75%

Points per game

2,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

2,5

0,8

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

74% Possession 26%

27 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

13 Corners 3

3 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Benfica 2. · Aves 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	5	4	0	1	+10	12
2	Benfica	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	Sp Braga	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Sp Lisbon	4	3	1	0	+4	10
5	Rio Ave	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Maritimo	5	3	1	1	+1	10
7	Feirense	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Guimaraes	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Belenenses	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Chaves	5	2	0	3	-4	6
11	Tondela	5	1	2	2	+0	5
12	Santa Clara	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Vitoria Setubal	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Boavista	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Nacional	5	1	1	3	-6	4
16	Moreirense	5	1	1	3	-6	4
17	Portimonense	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Aves	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Maritimo	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Porto	3	2	0	1	+7	6
3	Sp Braga	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Rio Ave	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Feirense	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Benfica	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Tondela	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Santa Clara	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Chaves	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Vitoria Setubal	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Belenenses	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Aves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Portimonense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Boavista	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Nacional	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Porto	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Belenenses	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Sp Lisbon	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Sp Braga	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Boavista	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Rio Ave	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Nacional	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Feirense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Moreirense	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Chaves	3	1	0	2	-5	3
14	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Portimonense	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Aves	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.