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Eliteserien
Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen
Rosenborg
S T S S S
1–1
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 57%
65%
48%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
65%
57%
Both score Ø 53%
48%
57%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
6 Shots 4
2 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 19
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rosenborg 1. · Sarpsborg 08 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 23 15 5 3 +31 50
2 Molde 24 12 5 7 +12 41
3 Sarpsborg 08 23 11 8 4 +9 41
4 Brann 24 11 7 6 +17 40
5 Haugesund 23 10 6 7 +4 36
6 Stromsgodset 24 9 8 7 +1 35
7 Odd 24 10 5 9 -6 35
8 Sandefjord 24 10 3 11 -4 33
9 Stabaek 24 9 6 9 -6 33
10 Kristiansund 24 7 8 9 -3 29
11 Lillestrom 24 7 7 10 -6 28
12 Sogndal 24 7 6 11 -7 27
13 Valerenga 23 7 6 10 -7 27
14 Aalesund 24 6 7 11 -5 25
15 Tromso 24 6 7 11 -12 25
16 Viking 24 3 6 15 -18 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rosenborg Sarpsborg 08
A. Gersbach 🔁
↦ Y. de Lanlay
24′
Half-time 0–1
0–1 S. Rosted
own goal
56′
65′
S. Rosted 0–2
K. Diatta
68′
🟨 Ole Jørgen Halvorsen
78′
🔁 J. Lindberg
↦ K. Diatta
M. Lundemo 🔁
↦ M. Jevtović
79′
89′
🔁 J. Tveita
↦ T. Heintz
90′
🟨 Sigurd Rosted
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Rosenborg

4-3-3
1 André Hansen G
4 T. Reginiussen D
16 J. Skjelvik D
2 V. Hedenstad D
3 B. Meling D
7 M. Jensen M
8 A. Konradsen M
15 A. Trondsen M
9 N. Bendtner F
11 Y. de Lanlay F
26 M. Jevtović M
Bench (7)
20 A. Gersbach
25 M. Lundemo
22 M. Konradsen
5 J. Rasmussen
14 J. Bjørdal
24 A. Østbø
34 E. Botheim

Coach: K. Ingebrigtsen

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
21 A. Kristiansen
11 J. Jørgensen D
16 J. Thomassen D
15 S. Rosted D
8 M. Lund Nielsen M
7 O. Halvorsen M
17 K. Zachariassen M
14 T. Heintz M
19 K. Diatta F
77 A. Askar D
69 P. Mortensen F
Bench (7)
10 J. Lindberg
22 J. Tveita
1 S. Čupić
2 A. Albech
13 O. Hansen
18 T. Hovda
20 A. Østli

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Svein Oddvar Moen · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.