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Eliteserien
Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen
Sarpsborg 08
S S S T S
1–2
Full-time
Rosenborg
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Rosenborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,2
Scored
2,5
1,8
Conceded
1,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,5
This season — Eliteserien · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 80%
80%
80%
Points per game
2,4
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
100%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
60%
20%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
2,8
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,2
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
15 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 2. · Rosenborg 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 5 4 1 0 +8 13
2 Sarpsborg 08 5 4 0 1 +8 12
3 Stabaek 6 4 0 2 +4 12
4 Brann 6 3 2 1 +6 11
5 Molde 6 3 2 1 +5 11
6 Haugesund 6 3 1 2 +2 10
7 Odd 6 3 0 3 -4 9
8 Aalesund 6 2 2 2 +0 8
9 Stromsgodset 6 2 2 2 -2 8
10 Sandefjord 6 2 1 3 -2 7
11 Tromso 6 2 1 3 -2 7
12 Valerenga 6 2 0 4 -3 6
13 Lillestrom 6 2 0 4 -5 6
14 Kristiansund 6 2 0 4 -6 6
15 Viking 6 1 1 4 -3 4
16 Sogndal 6 1 1 4 -6 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Rosenborg
9′
N. Bendtner 0–1
A. Konradsen
T. Heintz 🔁
↦ O. Halvorsen
44′
44′
🔁 M. Bakenga
↦ P. Helland
Half-time 0–1
J. Jørgensen 🔁
↦ A. Østli
63′
70′
🔁 M. Vilhjálmsson
↦ N. Bendtner
Kristoffer Zachariassen 🟨
76′
K. Diatta 🔁
↦ A. Albech
77′
78′
🔁 M. Lundemo
↦ A. Konradsen
1–1 J. Thomassen
T. Heintz
80′
81′
M. Bakenga 1–2
F. Midtsjø
82′
🟥 Milan Jevtović
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
21 A. Kristiansen
16 J. Thomassen D
20 A. Østli D
15 S. Rosted D
2 A. Albech D
8 M. Lund Nielsen M
7 O. Halvorsen M
6 A. Trondsen M
17 K. Zachariassen M
10 J. Lindberg F
69 P. Mortensen F
Bench (7)
14 T. Heintz
11 J. Jørgensen
19 K. Diatta
1 S. Čupić
18 T. Hovda
22 J. Tveita
29 A. Groven

Coach: G. Bakke

Rosenborg

4-3-3
1 André Hansen G
4 T. Reginiussen D
16 J. Skjelvik D
2 V. Hedenstad D
3 B. Meling D
7 M. Jensen M
8 A. Konradsen M
21 F. Midtsjø M
9 N. Bendtner F
23 P. Helland F
26 M. Jevtović M
Bench (7)
27 M. Bakenga
10 M. Vilhjálmsson
25 M. Lundemo
5 J. Rasmussen
14 J. Bjørdal
20 A. Gersbach
24 A. Østbø

Coach: K. Ingebrigtsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Svein Oddvar Moen · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.