Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Bundesliga

Referee: Marco Fritz

Leverkusen

U S T T T

1–0

Full-time

Mainz

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Leverkusen Mainz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,8

This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

2,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

19 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 4

4 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leverkusen 17. · Mainz 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Hertha	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Dortmund	4	2	2	0	+5	8
4	Werder Bremen	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Mainz	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Wolfsburg	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	M'gladbach	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Nurnberg	4	1	2	1	+1	5
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Augsburg	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Freiburg	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	RB Leipzig	3	1	1	1	-2	4
14	Ein Frankfurt	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Hannover	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	Stuttgart	4	0	2	2	-4	2
17	Leverkusen	3	0	0	3	-6	0
18	Schalke 04	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Hertha	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	M'gladbach	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Mainz	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Hoffenheim	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Nurnberg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	RB Leipzig	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Wolfsburg	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Werder Bremen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Augsburg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Freiburg	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Stuttgart	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Schalke 04	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Werder Bremen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Hertha	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Freiburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Augsburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Dortmund	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Mainz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Stuttgart	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Nurnberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	M'gladbach	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Hannover	3	0	1	2	-3	1
15	Schalke 04	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Hoffenheim	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Leverkusen	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.